Friday, May 16, 2014

Defensive Time? Russell 2000 In Correction Territory, Bond Market Now Showing Signs Of Fear, Panic Buying













“If you ask me about the Russell and the Nasdaq Composite and the S&P MidCap, I think you’re talking about 20, 25 percent. And I call it a stealth bear market going on.”
S&P 500, Dow near session lows; Russell 2000 in correction territory
Here’s what he said, according to a report filed from the hedge-fund gabfest in Las Vegas:
“We’ll probably be okay,” but it’s time to be nervous, says Tepper. Asked if there are any plays he likes right now, he answered with a curt “no.”
So what to do?
“I’m not saying go short, just don’t be too freakin’ long,” he said.
….
Russell 2000 index is officially in correction territory. It’s down 10.3% from the peak reached on March 4.
Timothy Leach, chief investment officer at the U.S. Bank Wealth Management Group says that markets were handed a reality check today when economic data from Europe came in very weak.
“When you have Germany’s Bundesbank saying they are open to underwrite stimulus, you know things are worrying.
In the U.S. the tapering of the Fed stimulus will finish by this fall, while the economy is growing at a lot slower pace than was forecast. This has been weighing on markets as we have in sideline trading.”
 
US output slides at fastest rate in nearly 2 years
U.S. industrial output fell at its fastest rate in more than 1-1/2 years in April as factory production slumped, tempering hopes for a big jump in economicgrowth after a winter slowdown.
Bond market now showing signs of fear, panic buying
Commentary: There may be movement in stocks investors are not anticipating, writes Michael Gayed.
For now, our ATAC models used for managing our absolute-return and equity-sector-rotation mutual funds and separate accounts remain in expansion mode, but the weekly nature of our approach could result in another very aggressive position into defensive stance.
This took place in 2000 & 2007…happening again? Defensive time???
 
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Defensive stocks started to reflect relative strength to Discretionary stocks back in 2000 & 2007 and when they did, the S&P 500 ended up falling in price.
Is a “defensive” breakout taking place in the lower right corner above? Nothing proven at this time… for sure has my attention !!!
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Homebuilder Confidence Unexpectedly Falls
The NAHB housing market index (HMI), a gauge of homebuilder sentiment, fell to 45 in May.
This missed expectations for a rise to 49. A reading over 50 shows that more builders view conditions as good than poor.
Wal-Mart Blows Quarter, Blames Weather
Huge Break Or A Full-Blown Stock Market Crash Is Coming
Fleckenstein: “No one has ever seen these sort of financial policies that the world is pursuing. We’ve never had the world’s central bank engaged in a massive QE operation and later been dialing it back, followed by what the Bank of Japan is doing, the Swiss National Bank, the Brits, and all of that….
“So you can’t necessarily look at things and say, ‘Well, this has to happen,’ because if you said that you would say, ‘Well, there is no way stocks could stay up with the Fed backing off from QE,’ but they have so far. Bonds — the same.

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