Monday, February 24, 2014

World Risks Era Of Slow Growth, High Unemployment. Stocks May Crash 30% Or More In A Matter Of Months If The Fed Continues On The Current Course

Man Who Executed QE1 For Fed Says Stocks May Collapse 30%
In the aftermath of the recent chaos and market turmoil in emerging markets, today King World News spoke with the man the Fed called on to execute QE1 and who also set up the Fed’s massive trading room, former Fed member and former Managing Director at Morgan Stanley, Andrew Huszar.  What he had to say will stun KWN readers around the world.  He warned stocks may collapse 30% or more in a matter of months if the Fed continues on the current course, and he also said that the Fed is now running the largest hedge fund in the world and it may end in disaster.  Below is what Huszard had to say in Part I of this remarkable interview.
Eric King:  “Andrew, what made you come out publicly and say that QE was a failure and apologize to everybody?  What made you come out and do that?”
World risks era of slow growth, high unemployment: OECD
In its 2014 study on “Going for Growth”, The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development said momentum on reforms had slowed in the aftermath of the global financial crisis, with much of it now piecemeal and incremental.
As I Suggested Would Happen – More Homes For Sale Now
Look out below…
Inventory rose year-over-year in 22 of the nation’s 35 largest metro areas covered by Zillow, with the largest inventory gains coming in some of the areas that were hit hardest by the housing recession, including Las Vegas (up 42.8 percent), Phoenix (up 30.5 percent) and Sacramento (up 26 percent). These metros also experienced significant cooling in the pace of home value appreciation in January, as buyers had more homes to choose from and were less apt to engage in the kinds of bidding wars that helped drive prices up so quickly last year.
I have been suggesting that we would start to see a lot more homes for sale starting in January, as home buyers who are theoretically now even or “above water” on their mortgage after paying too much before the bubble popped look to sell and move on, with less debt.
 
The die has been cast, and it appears that the world is finally on the path to the great “carry-trade unwind” endgame. If so, this is what it will look like…
Non-Existing Home Sales Miss Expectations, Plunge 14% From Highs, Drop To 18 Month Low
 [6]
RBS to Slash 20,000 Jobs
Asia Currencies Have Worst Week Since November on China Concern
Asian currencies had their worst weekly loss in almost three months as signs of a deeper economic slowdown in China and the Federal Reserve’s support for tapering asset purchases weighed onemerging markets.
South Korea’s won led the declines as a gauge of manufacturing in China, the nation’s biggest export market, fell to a seven-month low. Thailand’s baht was set for its steepest five-day drop of 2014 as anti-government protests turned deadly, while violence in Ukraine also damped sentiment. Fed policy makers backed further stimulus cuts at their January review, the minutes of the meeting showed, a program that drove capital into developing countries.
“Investors remain cautious and are concerned about downside risks coming from a slowdown in China and political instability in Thailand, Ukraine, Turkey and Argentina,” said Dariusz Kowalczyk, a Hong Kong-based strategist at Credit Agricole CIB. “There are potential outflows to Treasuries as the Fed tapering is likely to push their yields up as well.”
Hilarious Transcripts of Fed Minutes from 2008 Reveal Completely Clueless Fed
Today the Fed released minutes of meetings at the start and during the great financial crisis. These minutes show how clueless the Fed Governors were at the start of the recession.

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