Tuesday, May 6, 2014

Doug Casey-No Way Out-Stock, Bond and Real Estate Markets Will Collapse


Earthquake of 6 magnitude strikes Thailand, some damage

BANGKOK (Reuters) - An earthquake of 6 magnitude struck northern Thailand on Monday causing some damage to buildings and roads and knocking goods off shelves in shops but there were no immediate reports of any casualties.
The quake struck 17 miles (27 km) southwest of the town of Chiang Rai, the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS). It was felt in the Thai capital, Bangkok, and in neighbouring Myanmar.
"There has been minor damage to buildings in Chiang Rai itself, some shops have have goods scattered about and we're seeing cracks in buildings," a Chiang Rai police officer told Reuters.
"No injuries have been reported so far but we're hearing that some provincial roads have sustained some damage with large cracks appearing," said the officer, who declined to be identified as he is not authorised to speak to the media.
The USGS initially said the quake was of 6.3 magnitude but later downgraded it. It was at the relatively shallow depth of 7.4 km (4.5 miles).
Chiang Rai, in the mountainous north of Thailand, is near the borders of both Myanmar and Laos. The epicentre was in a largely rural area of small villages, farms and forests.
(Writing by Robert Birsel; Editing by Simon Cameron-Moore)


Earthquake in north Thailand

A strong earthquake shook northern Thailand and Myanmar on Monday evening, smashing windows, cracking walls and roads and damaging Buddhist temples. No casualties were reported.

The airport in Chiang Rai, a northern Thai city near the epicenter of the 6.3-magnitude temblor, evacuated people from its terminal, where display signs and pieces of the ceiling fell. There was no damage to the runway or flight disruptions, airport General Manager Damrong Klongakara said.
A well-known temple in the city, the all-white Wat Rongkhun, was closed due to safety concerns after the earthquake. (AP)

 A man points to a large crack on a damaged road following a strong earthquake in Phan district of Chiang Rai province, northern Thailand, Monday, May 5, 2014. A strong earthquake shook northern Thailand and Myanmar Monday evening, and some light damage was reported. (AP Photo)

Goods at a grocery store fallen from from the shelves after an earthquake in Chiang Rai province, northern Thailand Monday, May 5, 2014. (AP Photo)

 

Workers look on from the ground after evacuating from a building following an earthquake in Chiang Mai province, northern Thailand Monday, May 5, 2014. (AP Photo/Wichai Taprieu)

 

A woman looks at damaged house following an earthquake in Chiang Rai province, northern Thailand Monday, May 5, 2014. (AP Photo)

 

Debris fallen from cracked wall of a hotel building is scattered on the ground after an earthquake hit the area in Chiang Rai province, northern Thailand Monday, May 5, 2014. (AP Photo)

 

 

 

 

The 12.8 Trillion Dollar Financial Scam - PBS and Bloomberg report


Monday, May 5, 2014

Financial Strategist Warns: “Eventually Someone’s Going to Get Stuck Holding This Massive Bomb on Their Hands”


Mac Slavo
May 3rd, 2014
SHTFplan.com
 
grenade
 
Given the state of affairs around the globe it’s no surprise that many people are looking for ways to diversify their wealth into crisis investments. Navigating through the oft manipulated economic and financial numbers can be a daunting task, especially because the world’s geo-political climate is a powder keg that’s primed to explode at any time.
What we know is that time is not on our side. What we don’t know is when the pin will finally get pulled and exactly how events will unfold once it happens.
In an effort to help us guide our outlook and understand the various levels upon which the global chess game is being played we often turn to Marin Katusa, Chief Financial Strategist at the well known research and advisory firm of Casey Research. As Marin notes, there is a lot of risk out there right now, and most people don’t see it.
History is replete with examples of people who ignored the early warning signs and bought into the hype, only to be left holding the bag when those on the inside track exited ahead of the collapse. Today is no different and there is no shortage of fools waiting to be parted from their money. Don’t be one of them.
Doug and I are firm believers that you’re either a contrarian or you’re a victim… it’s important to understand your own risks and your own time frame of investment… so that’s the first thing.
Don’t miss the following interview from Future Money Trends, where Marin explores a wide range of strategies designed to protect your wealth and well being.

Right now there are millions of people looking at their stock portfolios, 401k’s, and IRA’s with a huge smile on their faces. The Dow Jones is at all time highs, after all.
What they don’t realize is that they are likely invested in companies that are priced 100 or 500 times their actual earnings. It’s a huge risk that has backfired more times than we care to count.Look at the evaluations, utilities for example. We just published a report in our Energy Report saying what stocks to stay away from. Where a railway is getting 100 times earnings, a railway. That makes absolutely no sense, but it pays a 4% yield, it’s pretty safe. So people are over-paying by five times, I would argue even six times, for a 4% yield.That’s how desperate investors are for yield.But eventually someone’s going to get stuck holding this massive bomb on their hands. 
So I have to urge all viewers, as I’ve been doing to my subscribers, to be very careful, have trailing stops, and we’ve had an unbelievable market here…The key is to take profits, reduce your risks, mitigate your risks.Whether your personal approach to preparing for the coming calamity involves structuring your investments in a well diversified global stock portfolio or focuses more on a ‘preparedness pantry’ portfolio, the information Marin shares is key to understanding what investments to avoid, how to find the diamonds in the rough, and ways to insulate yourself against any number of worst-case scenarios.The important thing is, as Marin notes, to mitigate your risk. That means watching and understanding the complexities of the global economy, financial markets and investment capital flows, all of which are an essential aspect of the geo-political climate.If, for example, Russia and China stop investing in America’s debt then we may see the dollar collapse. They may simultaneously implement trade restrictions and hold on to their natural resources like oil, gas, uranium and gold. The obvious effect would be a massive spike in not only those resources, but other commodities like food which will skyrocket in tandem.It is for this reason that trend strategists like Marin Katusa and Doug Casey are accumulating crisis investments such Brazil Resources, precious metals, productive land, and a host of other assets being ignored by the majority of investors who find their “tips” via their favorite mainstream TV channel.The way to invest in these “crisis assets” depends on your means, capabilities and current portfolio. For some, especially those who have existing stock investments tied to retirement accounts, your choices are limited to either withdrawing your money with heavy penalties or positioning your holdings in advance in such a way that they will benefit when everything else goes under. For others, who shy away from stocks, bonds and currencies, looking to physical assets in these same sectors – food, energy, precious metals – will have similar results.The strategy to implement now is to avoid what’s hot at the company water cooler and invest in assets that will be worth something after this economic bomb detonates.Please Spread The Word And Share This Post

The Number Of Working Age Americans Without A Job Has Risen By 27 MILLION Since 2000

Arrow Going Up
Did you know that there are nearly102 millionworking age Americans that do not have a job right now?  And 20 percent of all families in the United States do not have a single member that is employed.  So how in the world can the government claim that the unemployment rate has “dropped” to “6.3 percent”?  Well, it all comes down to how you define who is “unemployed”.  For example, last month the government moved another 988,000 Americans into the “not in the labor force” category.  According to the government, at this moment there are 9.75 million Americans that are “unemployed” and there are 92.02 million Americans that are “not in the labor force” for a grand total of 101.77 million working age Americans that do not have a job.  Back in April 2000, only 5.48 million Americans were unemployed and only 69.27 million Americans were “not in the labor force” for a grand total of 74.75 million Americans without a job.  That means that the number of working age Americans without a job has risen by 27 million since the year 2000.  Any way that you want to slice that, it is bad news.
Well, what about as a percentage of the population?
Has the percentage of working age Americans that have a job been increasing or decreasing?
As you can see from the chart posted below, the percentage of working age Americans with a job has been in a long-term downward trend.  As the year 2000 began, we were sitting at 64.6 percent.  By the time the great financial crisis of 2008 struck, we were hovering around 63 percent.  During the last recession, we fell dramatically to under 59 percent and we have stayed there ever since…
Employment Population Ratio April 2014
And the numbers behind this chart also show that employment in America did not increase last month.
In March, 58.9 percent of all working age Americans had a job.
In April, 58.9 percent of all working age Americans had a job.
Things are not getting worse (at least for the moment), but things are also definitely not getting better.
The month that Barack Obama entered the White House, we were in the midst of the worst economic downturn since the Great Depression and only60.6 percent of all working age Americans had a job.
Since only 58.9 percent of all working age Americans have a job now, that means that the employment situation in America is still significantly worse than it was the day Barack Obama took office.
So don’t let anyone fool you with talk of an “employment recovery”.  It simply is not happening.  The official unemployment rate bears so little relation to economic reality at this point that it has essentially become meaningless.
Look, how in the world can we have an “unemployment rate” of just “6.3 percent” when 20 percent of all American families do n0t have a single member that is working?
Here is how that 20 percent figure was arrived at
A family, as defined by the BLS, is a group of two or more people who live together and who are related by birth, adoption or marriage. In 2013, there were 80,445,000 families in the United States and in 16,127,000—or 20 percent–no one had a job.
So if one out of every five families is completely unemployed, then why is the official government unemployment rate not up at Great Depression era levels?
Could it be that the government is manipulating the numbers to make them look much better than they actually are?
Why don’t they just go ahead and get it over with?  They can just define every American that is not working as “not in the labor force” and then we can have “0.0 percent unemployment”.  Then we can all have a giant party and celebrate how wonderful the U.S. economy is.
And don’t be fooled by the “288,000 jobs” that were added to the U.S. economy last month.  For workers under the age of 55, the number of jobs actually dropped by a whopping 259,000.
If we were using honest numbers, the official unemployment rate would look a lot scarier.  John Williams of shadowstats.com has calculated that the unemployment rate should be about 23 percent.  I don’t think that is too far off.
Meanwhile, the quality of the jobs in our economy continues to go down.  The House Ways and Means Committee says that seven out of every eight jobs that have been “added” to the economy under Barack Obama have been part-time jobs.  But you can’t raise a family or plan a career around a part-time job.  To be honest, it is very hard for a single person to even survive on a part-time wage in this economic environment.
As the quality of our jobs goes down, so do our incomes.  The median household income has declined for five years in a row, and the middle class is falling apart.
Without middle class incomes, you can’t have a middle class.  Considering what we have been watching happen, it should be no surprise that the homeownership rate in the United States has dropped to the lowest levelin 19 years or that the number of Americans receiving money from the government each month exceeds the number of full-time workers in the private sector by more than 60 million.
For many more statistics like this, please see my previous article entitled “17 Facts To Show To Anyone That Believes That The U.S. Economy Is Just Fine“.
At a gut level, most Americans understand that things are much worse than they used to be.
The Pew Research Center recently asked people what “class” they consider themselves to be.  The results were shocking.
Back in 2008, only 25 percent of all Americans considered themselves to be “lower middle class” or “poor”.
Earlier this year, an astounding 40 percent of all Americans chose one of those designations.
We are in the midst of a long-term economic decline, and no amount of propaganda is going to change that.
But based on the “happy numbers” being trumpeted by the mainstream media, the Federal Reserve is slowly bringing their quantitative easing program to an end.
When quantitative easing is finally totally cut off, we shall see how the financial markets and the U.S. economy perform without artificial life support.
Personally, I don’t think that it is going to be pretty.


Implosion Of Housing Bubble 2 Hits Six Cities In The West

“Homes in more than 1,000 cities and towns nationwide either already are, or soon will be, more expensive than ever,” Zillow reported gleefully the other day. “National home values have climbed year-over-year for 21 consecutive months, a steady march upward….”
Glorious recovery. Our phenomenal housing bubble that, when it blew up spectacularly, helped topple our financial system, threw the economy into the Great Recession, caused millions of jobs to evaporate, and made people swear up and down: never-ever again another housing bubble.
Steps in the Fed, and trillions of dollars get printed and handed to Wall Street, and asset prices become airborne, and Wall Street jumps into the housing market and buys up hundreds of thousands of vacant single-family homes, drives up prices, and armed with free money, shoves aside first-time buyers and others who would actually live in these homes, and turned them instead into rental units. Now in over 1,000 cities, prices are, or soon will be, as high as they were at the peak of the last housing bubble.
The difference? Last time, all that craziness was called a “bubble” with hindsight. This time, it’s called a “housing recovery.”
The result of this, as Zillow called it, “remarkable milestone”: real buyers who intend to live in these homes are falling by the wayside. Every week for months, mortgages to purchase homes have been between 10% and 15% below the same week in the prior year. In the latest week, they dropped 21%, the worst week I remember seeing. The number of refis has plunged even more, but that only ate into bank income statements and caused thousands of people to get laid off. Purchase mortgages, when they drop, decimate home sales.
Real Americans, rather than Wall Street, have been priced out of the housing market. Inflation has eaten into their wages. Many people can only find part-time work. Mortgage interest has risen from ridiculously low to just historically low [ Hot Air Hisses Out Of Housing Bubble 2.0: Even Two Middle-Class Incomes Aren’t Enough Anymore To Buy A Median Home].
So the rate of homeownership in the first quarter, after ticking up last year and triggering bouts of false hope, fell to 64.8%. The lowest level since 1995! It had peaked in Q2 2004 at 69.2%, a sign that even as the prior housing bubble was gaining steam, regular folks werealready priced out of the market. This ugly trajectory is the face of the “housing recovery” sans Wall Street:
And now history has become a Fed-induced rerun. It started in six until recently white-hot housing markets in Arizona and California – Phoenix, Ventura, Riverside, L.A., Sacramento, and San Diego – where home prices have skyrocketed to the point where few people can afford them. Electronic real-estate broker Redfin, which covers 19 metro areas around the country, explained the impact of “the double whammy” – rising prices and mortgage rates –this way:
Someone who purchased a $350,000 home in Riverside in March 2013 with a 20 percent down payment and a 30-year fixed rate of 3.4% would have a monthly mortgage payment of $1,241. But with prices up 19.6%, the same home would now cost $418,600. At the current mortgage rate of 4.33%, the monthly mortgage payment on that home is now $1,663, a 34% jump from a year ago.
And even a year ago, a family with two median incomes had to stretch to buy that house. Now, in these six markets, sales are plunging and inventories of houses for sale are soaring. A deadly mix.
In Phoenix, inventories were up 42.7% in March from prior year, but sales were down 17.4%. So sellers slashed prices to get rid of these homes. In Phoenix, the hardest hit of the bunch, 45% of the sellers cut their prices. That’s how it starts. Haven’t we been there before? For instance, at the beginning of the prior housing-bubble implosion? This is what that debacle looks like:
It didn’t look quite this terrible in 11 of the other markets that Redfin tracks: Austin, Baltimore, Boston, Chicago, Long Island, Philadelphia, Portland, San Francisco, San Jose, Seattle, and Washington, D.C. (due to “data anomalies,” Denver and Las Vegas were not included). Sales were still down, but so were inventories. When the last housing bubble imploded, it didn’t happen all at once across the country. In some cities, home prices peaked in early 2006; in San Francisco, they peaked in November 2007.
And what happened to the Wall Street investors who whipped the market into frenzy by deploying the Fed’s free money? Soaring prices are “eroding investor profit potential,” Redfin points out, and many have pulled back. As of year-end 2013, the percentage of investor purchases in these six markets dropped to 10.6% from 15.6% a year earlier. And since then, they’ve dropped even more. Easy come, easy go.
“Housing affordability is really taking a bite out of the market,” is how the chief economist for the California Association of Realtors explained the March home sales fiasco. “We haven’t seen this issue since 2007.” And so, the benchmarks established during the terrible implosion of the prior housing bubble are suddenly reappearing. Read…. Housing Bubble 2.0 Veers Elegantly Toward Housing Bust 2.0


David Quintieri This system of fraud will collapse


David Quintieri of The Money GPS joins me on the Prepper Recon Podcast today to give us an economics update. We talk about the misleading numbers and the fraud that will eventually collapse the global financial system.