Thursday, March 14, 2013

WATCH: Protesters In Iceland Hurl Eggs At Politicians


Dairy missiles fired at politicians.
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Eggs Make All The Difference
It's interesting that we've now seen 2 sets of protests erupt over the bailouts across the globe.  In the U.S., the Occupy protests failed, the criminals remain free, and the economy is stagnant, kept alive by a set of industrial strength Hewlett Packard printers in a 10' by 12' shed behind Bernanke's house in Great Falls, Va.
In Iceland, the protests succeeded, the bankers were prosecuted and jailed, the economy is thriving and unemployment is below 5%.
In analyzing this dichotomy, the inescapable conclusion is that what makes the difference between failed protests and successful economic policy are hurled eggs.
Maybe next time...

CNBC: Pension Timebomb On The Horizon













Corporate pension timebomb.
Gary Kaminsky on the $400 billion pension deficit sitting on the books of public companies.

UK workers suffer sharpest wage fall of any developed country as business leaders warn the pain is far from over

British workers have seen their wages plummet faster than any other workforce in a developed economy, a new study reveals today.
Real wages dropped by 4.5 per cent between 2007 and 2011, leaving workers with smaller incomes at a time of rising costs for basic necessities such as food, fuel, gas and electricity - not to mention housing costs.
This marks a considerably sharper squeeze than the 2.7 per cent fall in Italy or 0.7 per cent drop in Japan, according to the report from the TUC.
Squeezed incomes: British workers have seen their wages plummet further than any other developed country, according to the TUC
Squeezed incomes: British workers have seen their wages plummet further than any other developed country, according to the TUC
Meanwhile wages in Australia and Canada grew by 6.9 per cent and 5.4 per cent respectively.
The bulk of the decline was seen in 2011, the Coalition’s first full year in office, when wages shrank by 3.5 per cent – nearly twice as fast as in Spain, the second worst-performing economy that year.
The figures come as British business groups warned today that conditions in the UK economy are likely to remain tough for some time.
 
The British Chambers of Commerce has cut its economic growth forecast for this year to 0.6 per cent from a previous prediction of one per cent.
The BCC said the forecasts underline the challenges facing the UK economy, calling for the Chancellor to use his Budget later this month to deliver ‘radical measures’ to encourage businesses to create jobs, invest and export.
How we compare: Real wage growth between 2007 and 2011 in the world's top ten developed countries
How we compare: Real wage growth between 2007 and 2011 in the world's top ten developed countries
UK manufacturers also said conditions remained difficult, with weak market conditions both home and abroad.

The wage figures highlight the extent to which the recession and subsequent economic stagnation has squeezed the incomes of ordinary workers, the TUC said.

It added that the government’s austerity programme has made the squeeze on living standards even tighter by cutting vital tax credits and welfare support for low and middle-income families.

How Britain's wage growth compares to other G7 nations (Source: TUC)
'While most countries have suffered periods of negative wage growth, no-one has witnessed such a marked decline as the UK,’ said TUC general secretary Frances O’Grady

'This government’s blind obedience to self-defeating austerity has ensured that we are leading the way when it comes to the squeeze on living standards. 

'Businesses desperately need people to spend money but employees are cutting back as their wages are squeezed. And the public sector, far from making up the gap, is being slashed too.

'Unless we get stronger economic growth with rising real wages consumer spending will remain weak and the economy will continue to flat-line.'

However David Cameron was set today to reiterate his commitment to the austerity drive designed to reduce the deficit, saying that the alternative is being plunged ‘back into the abyss’.

‘I know some people think it is being stubborn to stick to a plan, that somehow this is just about making the numbers add up with no care whatsoever for what it means for people affected by the changes we make,’ he said.
‘But nothing could be further from the truth. My motives for sticking to the plan are exactly about doing the right thing to help families and businesses.’
In a significant boost for Mr Cameron’s strategy, Tony Blair backed spending cuts yesterday – a rare intervention into domestic politics.
He said he believes reducing the deficit is more important than ‘left versus right’.

Shadow Treasury Minister Cathy Jamieson, said of the wage figures: 'These shocking figures show that a flatlining economy under David Cameron and George Osborne has led to a sharp fall in living standards since 2010. We are losing in the global race with the biggest decline in real wages of any of the world's top ten economies.
Challenges ahead: The Prime Minister, speaking during Prime Minister's Questions yesterday, will admit that the challenges facing the economy are 'huge'
Challenges ahead: The Prime Minister, speaking during Prime Minister's Questions yesterday, will admit that the challenges facing the economy are 'huge'
 
‘Urgent action is needed in this month's Budget to kick-start our stagnant economy and help people on middle and low incomes struggling with the rising cost of living.
'The top rate tax cut for millionaires should be cancelled and a new lower 10p starting rate of tax introduced to help millions on middle and modest incomes, and to boost growth we need to bring forward infrastructure investment, build thousands of affordable homes and give tax breaks to small firms taking on extra workers.’
Graph showing GDP estimates and revisions from the last quarter of 2008 to the end of 2012 (Source: ONS)
Graph showing GDP estimates and revisions from the last quarter of 2008 to the end of 2012 (Source: ONS)
While average wages have fallen, non-executive chairmen of top companies received average pay rises of 6 per cent last year, taking their earnings to almost £400,000, another study has revealed.
Pay analysts Incomes Data Services (IDS) said non-executive pay among FTSE 100 firms on average ranged from £270,000 in technology businesses to over £500,000 in oil and gas companies.
Average fees for non-executive directors (NEDs) increased by 4 per cent last year to £64,000 - double the amount of 12 years ago.

Wal-Mart’s (WMT) Slowness to Stock Shelves Worsens, Sales Slump

Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT), already struggling to woo shoppers constrained by higher taxes, is “getting worse” at keeping shelves stocked, the retailer’s U.S. chief told executives, according to minutes of an officers’ meeting obtained by Bloomberg News.
“We run out quickly and the new stuff doesn’t come in,” U.S. Chief Executive Officer Bill Simon said, according to the minutes of the Feb. 1 meeting. Simon called “self-inflicted wounds” Wal-Mart’s “biggest risk” and said an executive vice president had been appointed to fix the restocking problem, according to the minutes.
Once a paragon of logistics, the world’s largest retailer has been trying to improve its restocking efforts since at least 2011, hiring consultants to walk the aisles and track whether hundreds of items are available. It even reassigned store greeters to replenish merchandise. The restocking challenge emerged as Wal-Mart was returning more merchandise to shelves and reducing staff in many stores.
Wal-Mart’s inability to keep its shelves stocked coincides with slowing sales growth. Same-store sales in the U.S. for the 13 weeks ending April 26 will be little changed, Simon said in the company’s Feb. 21 earnings call. Comparable sales increased 1 percent in the fourth quarter, compared with an average of 1.4 percent from analysts surveyed by Bloomberg. This year the shares gained 4.2 percent through yesterday, compared with a 5 percent advance for the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index.
“There’s a number of misinterpretations and half- thoughts” in the documents, which were not official company minutes, David Tovar, a Wal-Mart spokesman said in a telephone interview.

‘Getting Worse’

When Simon said things were “getting worse” he was referring to “modular changes,” the process of replenishing merchandise to keep up with customer demand and changing seasons, Tovar said. Wal-Mart is working to “manage this in the most efficient way possible,” he said.
“We’re very pleased with our in-stock position,” he said, adding that products audited by the company and its consultants match or exceed historical levels. He declined to disclose what those levels are.
Tovar declined to make Simon available for comment.
Evelin Cruz, a department manager at the Wal-Mart Supercenter in Pico Rivera, California, said Simon’s comments from the officers’ meeting were “dead on.”

Merchandise Gaps

“There are gaps where merchandise is missing,” Cruz said in a telephone interview. “We are not talking about a couple of empty shelves. This is throughout the store in every store. Some places look like they’re going out of business.”
Cruz, 41, who has worked at Wal-Mart for nine years and oversees the photo and wireless sections at her store, said it can take weeks or months for merchandise to be replaced after it sells out.
“My camera bar hasn’t had cameras since early January,” she said. “They let the merchandise phase out but nothing new comes in to replace them. We’re supposed to have 72 cameras but we maybe have 12. What are customers supposed to buy?”
Cruz, a member of Our Wal-Mart, a labor-backed group seeking to improve working conditions at the retailer, also said the number of photo and wireless employees she oversees has decreased from about 13 people to seven since the beginning of 2012. The remaining workers have struggled to clear out old displays and quickly replace them with new merchandise, she said. Meanwhile, they’re supposed to help customers with things like mobile phone contracts, a transaction that can take up to 45 minutes, she said.

Walking Away

“All of this is affecting customers,” Cruz said. “You see people walking out because they’re looking for anyone to help them and there’s no coverage.”
Simon said at the Feb. 1 meeting that he is trying to improve operations.
“We need to start with the intent that our shelves will be full,” he said, according to the minutes.
John Aden, executive vice president of general merchandise for Wal-Mart U.S., will be put in charge of addressing the issues, according to the minutes.
For much of its history, Wal-Mart has been considered a master of logistics, persuading suppliers to set up shop near its operations. Yet in 2011, Wal-Mart hired consulting firms Acosta Inc. in the U.S. and Retail Insight in the U.K. for advice on how to keep its shelves stocked. Paul Boyle, the CEO of Retail Insight, didn’t return phone calls seeking comment. Meredith Rovine, a spokeswoman for Acosta, said representatives were unavailable for comment.
At that time, Wal-Mart’s struggle to keep shelves stocked stemmed from the return of about 8,500 items to stores, following a failed effort to streamline its merchandise. At an investor conference in June of that year, Simon said he was focused on improving the company’s restocking operations.
“The only thing that really matters to us is whether the product is on the shelf or not,” he said at the time.
According to the Feb. 1 meeting minutes, Simon said: “We have to get better and remain laser-focused every day because momentum can turn against you in a second.”
Wal Mart’s (WMT) Slowness to Stock Shelves Worsens, Sales Slump
By Renee Dudley
Courtesy of Bloomberg News

Gold and Silver ETFs “Backed Only By The Good Faith Of Banks and Brokerages”

by GoldCore


Today’s AM fix was USD 1,591.50, EUR 1,221.98 and GBP 1,062.42 per ounce.
Yesterday’s AM fix was USD 1,582.50, EUR 1,216.37and GBP 1,065.30 per ounce.
Both gold and silver rose by almost 1% yesterday. Gold rose $12.20 and closed at $1,593.30/oz. Silver closed at $29.15/oz.
Silver is trading at $29.08/oz, €22.44/oz and £19.51/oz.
Platinum is trading at $1,590.25/oz, palladium at $767.00/oz and rhodium at $1,200/oz.

Gold remains near the highest level in almost two weeks on prospects of further currency debasement from central banks in Europe, Japan, the UK and the U.S. and continuing robust physical demand in Asia.
The spectre of stagflation threatens the UK economy due to concerns that sterling weakness will contribute to even higher inflation amid very weak economic growth and the likelihood of a recession – likely a severe one.
Markets are pricing in a jump in inflation as inflation expectations, as measured by the difference between nominal and inflation-linked bond yields, ticked up to near 3.3% yesterday.
Recent poor economic data and the appalling UK fiscal position are rightly leading to concerns of stagflation as was seen in the 1970’s. Conditions that make owning gold and silver vitally important to own in order to protect and grow wealth.
The ECB confirmed that they will maintain their accommodative stance “as long as necessary” and the Federal Reserve and BOJ are committed to ultra loose monetary policy for the foreseeable future.

Gold in GBP – YTD (Bloomberg)

U.S. asset manager Van Eck Global has filed with the SEC to launch two gold and silver exchange-traded funds that will allow investors to redeem their shares for physical precious metals.

Van Eck Global has offices around the world and managed approximately $36.6 billion in investor assets as of December 31, 2012.

Silver in GBP – YTD (Bloomberg)

The two new products will add to Van Eck’s line-up of commodities-focused ETFs, including its Gold Miners ETF and the Junior Gold Miners ETF and mutual funds.
Van Eck filed its regulatory papers late on Monday. The gold trust filing says a “secondary objective is to provide investors with an opportunity to invest in gold through the shares and to be able to take delivery of gold bullion in exchange for their shares.”
Most precious metals ETFs do not allow their shareholders to take physical delivery, and those that do often charge a higher management fee to offset the extra costs related to physical redemption.
There are currently about 20 major global gold- and silver-backed ETFs, and dozens other exchange-traded products “backed only by the good faith of banks and brokerages” according to Reuters (see News).
NEWS 
Spectre of Stagflation Haunts UK - FT
Gold Trades Near Two-Week High on Stimulus, Rising Asian Demand - Bloomberg
Gold holds near two-week high on euro zone concerns - Reuters
Van Eck files to launch redeemable U.S. gold, silver ETFs - Reuters
COMMENTARY
“Sell JPY, Buy Gold, and Go To Sleep” - Zero Hedge
My Switch From Gold to Silver Mantra - SilverSeek
Fed’s Exit Can Only Be Debt and Currency Devaluation Via Gold - GoldSeek
Gold Breakout Attempt with Higher Volume - Got Gold Report

Gold “Being Strongly Influenced by Technicals”, Grillo Tells Germans: “Italy is Already Out of the Euro”

London Gold Market Report
from Ben Traynor, BullionVault
Wednesday 13 March 2013, 08:15 EST

Gold “Being Strongly Influenced by Technicals”, Grillo Tells Germans: “Italy is Already Out of the Euro”

U.S.DOLLAR gold prices ticked higher to $1597 per ounce Wednesday morning, holding gains from a day earlier, as the Dollar fell against the Euro despite warnings from a prominent Eurozone policymaker that the crisis in the region is not over.

Gold in Euros rose to its highest level this month at €1229 an ounce, in contrast with gold in Sterling, which failed to move back above £1070 an ounce as the Pound recovered some ground against the Dollar after hitting a fresh two-and-a-half-year low yesterday.

Silver dipped briefly below $29 an ounce this morning before rallying 20¢, while stock markets ticked lower, commodities were broadly flat and US Treasury bonds gained.

A day earlier, gold climbed above $1590 an ounce for the first time in March Tuesday after Bundesbank chief Jens Weidmann said he does not believe the Eurozone crisis is over.

A number of analysts have suggested the speed of yesterday’s move reflected so-called short covering of gold positions, whereby traders who have bet on the price of gold falling cover themselves as it rises by taking bets in the opposite direction i.e. buying gold.

“The price rise yesterday will not sustain as there was no major change in fundamentals,” reckons Jinrui Futures analyst Chen Min in China.

“We’ll see strong influence from technicals on prices as there isn’t much data on the plate this week.”

Speaking publicly again Wednesday, Weidmann told an audience in Cologne that European governments are “not giving clear direction” and reiterated yesterday’s comments that an end to crisis “is not in sight”.

Weidmann also said it does not make sense “to speculate about individual countries leaving the Euro area”, having been asked about a comment from a German politician last week who suggested Italy may exit the single currency.

“In fact, Italy’s already out of the Euro,” Italian comedian-turned-politician Beppe Grillo, whose Five Star movement won the biggest share of the vote in last month’s Italian election, says in an interview published by German newspaper Handelsbaltt Wednesday.

Northern European countries, he adds, will keep Italy in the Euro “until they are able to get back the funds their banks invested in Italian government bonds. Then they will drop us like a hot potato.”

China can only invest around 1% to 2% of its foreign currency in gold as the market is too small to invest any more, the deputy governor of the central bank and head of the State Administration of Foreign Exchange (SAFE), Yi Gang, told reporters Wednesday. Yi added however that gold is always an option for China.

In January, SAFE created a new unit, the SAFE Co-Financing office, tasked with exploring new investments through which to diversify China’s $3.3 trillion of foreign exchange reserves.

Two percent of this would equate to just under 1300 tonnes of gold at today’s price, more than the 1054.1 tonnes the World Gold Council reports in its latest World Official Gold Holdings. China however does not regularly report when it adds to its official reserve, and has not reported how much gold it holds since 2009.

China’s Renminbi currency, along with Australian assets and gold, “emerge as the most important assets for diversification” for central bank reserves, according to a report published this morning by the World Gold Council.

Using portfolio optimization analysis the authors of the report, ‘Central bank diversification strategies: rebalancing from the Dollar and the Euro’, found that “gold received a prominent 8% allocation, surpassing the 4% allocation to Renminbi and 3% to Australian assets.

“Gold’s allocation,” the report adds, “was matched only by Japanese Yen which was also weighted at 8% of the optimized portfolio.”

The latest World Official Gold Holdings shows that the top three nations by size of official gold reserves, the US, Germany and Italy, have 75.6%, 72.7% and 72.2% of their reserves as gold respectively.

Ben Traynor
BullionVault

Gold value calculator   |   Buy gold online at live prices

Editor of Gold News, the analysis and investment research site from world-leading gold ownership service BullionVault, Ben Traynor was formerly editor of the Fleet Street Letter, the UK’s longest-running investment letter. A Cambridge economics graduate, he is a professional writer and editor with a specialist interest in monetary economics. Ben can be found on Google+

(c) BullionVault 2013

Please Note: This article is to inform your thinking, not lead it. Only you can decide the best place for your money, and any decision you make will put your money at risk. Information or data included here may have already been overtaken by events – and must be verified elsewhere – should you choose to act on it.

WARNING: Hiding Behind The Illusion Of Today’s Latest Stock-Market Records Is An Economy And Markets That Are Peaking, Near Crashing. Yet Our Leaders Are In Denial.


History is accelerating, the American economy is slowing and Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke is the accelerant.
Seems like just yesterday his mentor Alan Greenspan admitted to Congress that he “found a flaw” in the “free market ideology” that drove America’s monetary policy for his tenure as Fed chairman. Yes, “flawed;” it took him and America to figure out that self-regulated free markets did “not work.”
Unfortunately, nothing’s changed: Greenspan handed off to Bernanke. And that same flawed ideology is still misleading America’s central bank and the world’s 192 central banks headlong into another disaster bigger than 2008. And the chain of command over the evidence is clear: Greenspan starting with Reagan. Then Bernanke with George W. Bush, adding another eight years of failed monetary and fiscal policies.
Now, Bernanke and Obama policies continue, favoring banks with their high-speed, cheap-money printing presses. And if America’s accelerating debt is the metric, historians are already judging Greenspan harshly. In the future, history will be even harder on Bernanke: He never learned the lesson, that Greenspan’s failed free-market ideology severely damaged the American economy.
Ultimately, however, history will be harshest on Obama. As we wrote four years ago, the reappointment of Bernanke was Obama’s “biggest domestic policy blunder.” “Black Swan” author Nassim Nicholas Taleb was “stunned … I cannot believe that we, in the 21st century, can accept living in such a society. I am not blaming Bernanke, he doesn’t even know he doesn’t understand how things work.”
“The world has never, never been as fragile,” Taleb wrote in HuffingtonPost, and we’re stuck with another economist, Bernanke, who, like his flawed mentor, Greenspan, relies on wishful thinking, dogma and ideology.

Too late to fix 24 years of Bernanke-Greenspan’s failed policies?

Warning: Hiding behind the illusion of today’s latest stock-market records is an economy and markets that are peaking, near crashing. Yet our leaders are in denial. A new bubble is blowing, bigger than the 1990s dot-com mania, bigger than Wall Street’s credit meltdown, both driven by the same flawed monetary ideology that’s now a virus spreading across America’s political system.
This new bubble was captured recently on the Washington Blog and Barry Ritholtz’s Big Picture. Listen:
“Top Bankers: Too much central bank easing is becoming dangerous. And the stock rally is due to money printing. Everyone knows that ‘too big to fail’ banks are bad for the economy.” Agence France-Presse reports that “central banks are pumping out too much easy money and markets risk becoming dangerously addicted to ultra-low interest rates.”
Their source: “The Institute of International Finance, which groups 450 banks, said that if central banks continue to flood money into the global economy then any future bid to get it under control could itself destabilize the financial system. … quantitative easing, very low interest rates, cannot last forever, but the risk is that financial markets have become addicted to them,” warned the institute.

World’s central banks ‘doing whatever it takes’ but making it worse

Get it? We’re approaching the point of no return. Now 450 banks are warning us that the world’s 192 central banks are screwing things up by “doing whatever it takes” to compensate for the “prolonged political stalemate” on fiscal solutions. The institute warns: “The longer central bank liquidity is relied on to hold things together, the more excesses and distortions are being accumulated in the financial system. An eventual unwinding of these excesses will become a destabilizing risk event.”
Ritholtz’s summary: “The problem in 2008 was that the big banks became insolvent because of stupid gambling.” And it’s happening again. “The government’s whole approach to the 2008 financial crisis was entirely wrong. And the easy money policy (quantitative easing) of central banks doesn’t help, but instead hurts the economy and the little guy.”

Why? Because the Dow Jones Industrial Average “hit an all-time high … more because of relaxed international monetary conditions than thanks to any recovery in the real economy.”

America’s worst-case scenario: If Obama reappoints Bernanke

As de facto leader of the world’s 192 central banks, the Fed’s Bernanke, remains stuck in the past, a clone driven by Greenspan’s failed policies. Bernanke’s learned nothing from Greenspan’s failures. We saw this coming back in 2009. Our headline read:“Dismantle Benanke’s Happy Conspiracy, Now!”
Bernanke had become “America’s (and the world’s) most dangerous man, acting like the supreme dictator of that larger conspiracy Jack Bogle called the Happy Conspiracy in “The Battle for the Soul of Capitalism.”
Here we are four years later: And Bernanke’s ego has morphed into a messiah complex. Read between the lines of IIF’s releases and there’s a man with the self-image as savior of the world economy, overcompensating for political gridlock.
That led to my recent updated warning: “Out with Bernanke. In with Bloomberg as Fed Chairman.” Why Mayor Bloomberg? Because “America needs new blood … we need a decision-making powerhouse like Bloomberg, Wall Street visionary, high-tech innovator, philanthropist and proven government leader focused on what’s best for the country and all people.”

6 traits for new Fed chairman … a CEO … or the next pope

For the moment, let’s set aside any deep worries about extending the flawed Greenspan-Bernanke legacy. Set aside all political concerns about Bloomberg, that he might be too strong. Set aside all preconceptions. So what’s the ideal profile for the next Fed chair?
Step outside the box. Let’s go into an alternative reality for guidelines on the kind of leader America needs to best guide our monetary polities into the future. CNN did just that recently in “To pick the next pope, learn lessons from the business world.” CNN asked Brian Frawley, an expert in executive assessment, leadership development and organizational effectiveness, to outline the traits the new leader needed.
Frawley is a principal at the Hay Group, an international management consulting firm. He is also a former priest.
Frawley’s criteria, modified from a corporate context might read: The Fed “is at the brink of its own transition at the top that could have an enormous impact on its future vitality and direction. It represents a moment filled with opportunity and fraught with challenge. In that light, here are” the six essential criteria slightly adjusted for the selection of the next Fed chairman:
  • Visionary. What kind of strategic-thinking ability has this leader demonstrated that suggests he will be able to pull together and communicate a compelling and unifying vision for America’s future?
  • Manager. Has this leader demonstrated an ability to effectively govern a large and complex bureaucracy? Is he a good judge of talent and willing to delegate critical management roles to the right people?
  • Communicator. Is this leader an extraordinary communicator, willing and able to utilize the electronic and social media to reach out to people across cultures and generations?
  • Relationships. Has this leader developed strong relationships with other leaders, internationally and domestically, that can be leveraged to break down barriers and forge new and dynamic partnerships?
  • Courage. How courageous and forceful will this leader be to push for changes that will cultivate broader ownership and participation in decision-making among all members?
  • Integrity. Is this person seen as a leader of unfailing integrity who has not in the past and will not in the future succumb to the temptation to compromise core values?
Bottom line, these are the six essential traits America needs in our next Fed chairman. As a management consultant, Frawley notes these are similar to criteria used with leading corporations “confronted with compelling challenges and a need for new direction” when deciding “who should fill their top role.”
The same applies in selecting the new leader of our Federal Reserve Bank, especially at such a crucial turning point in American history after 26 years of failed monetary policies under Greenspan and Bernanke.