截至周二美东时间下午2:30(北京时间周三凌晨2点30分)，纽约商业交易所的7月原油合约上涨1.92美元，收于70.01美元/桶，涨幅为2.8%。盘中7月合约的最高值为70.18美元，最低为68.43美元。
纽约油市收盘时，美元指数下跌1.1%，至80.02点。通常情况下，美元疲软将推高以美元计价的石油等大宗商品的价格。
德国商业银行的分析师表示：“近来美元和油价的反向联动源自市场预计全球经济将快速复苏，而经济好转最终将导致利率上调和石油需求增长。”但是，他们同时指出，目前“石油的需求依然很脆弱，特别是在油价处于目前高位的情况下”。
EIA调升能源价格预期
今晨，位于华盛顿的美国能源信息署(EIA)宣布，调升对今年原油和汽油价格的预期。EIA在一份月度报告中指出，预计今年的原油均价为58.70美元/桶。这明显高于EIA一个月前估计的52美元/桶。
此外，EIA将明年原油价格的预期从58美元/桶调升至67.42美元。EIA还称，预计今年七月常规汽油的均价将接近2.70美元/加仑，2009全年的汽油均价约为2.23美元。
Sucden Research的分析师指出，鉴于“近来美国和世界其他国家发布了一系列利好经济数据”，EIA调升能源价格预期是预料之中的事情。
即将发布的供需数据
油市投资者都在等待明天美国政府将发布的周能源库存数据。能源咨询公司Perry Management的总裁查尔斯-佩里(Charles Perry)表示：“我想交易者都极为关注周三发布的美国库存报告。”
他进一步指出：“上一周库存数据的增长出乎交易者的预料，因此在看到本周的库存报告前他们将保持谨慎立场。”
今天油市收盘后，美国石油检定协会(API)将在美东时间下午4:30发布其石油供应报告。明天上午10:30，EIA将发布油市更为关注的官 方库存报告。据能源信息提供商Platts的调查，目前油市分析师平均预期：在截至6月5日的一周中，美国的商业原油库存将环比增加80万桶。
此外，他们估计汽油供应量将环比增加110万桶，馏分油库存也将增加110万桶，美国市场的需求疲软将推动各类石油产品的库存增长。
TOKYO (MarketWatch) -- Crude-oil futures continued higher in electronic trading Wednesday, climbing over $71 a barrel ahead of weekly U.S. data on petroleum supplies.
Crude for July delivery closed at $70.01 a barrel Tuesday on the New York Mercantile Exchange, up 2.8%.
The contract was up $1.15 at $71.16 in Globex trade Wednesday, just off $71.18, a high not seen for more than 7 months.
Traders are mulling the prospects for this week's data on U.S. petroleum inventories, which showed an increase last week. The EIA will release its data at 10:30 a.m. Eastern time Wednesday.
Analysts are looking for an increase of 800,000 barrels in U.S. commercial crude stockpiles for the week ended June 5, according to a Platts survey of analysts, but some traders are betting on a surprise decline.
"Anticipation of lower inventories is not all -- remember the weaker dollar too," said Charles Perry, president of energy-consulting firm Perry Management.
But if a trader waits until the inventory report, and supplies are indeed a lot lower, "the price shoots up so fast -- usually a matter of seconds," Perry said. The trader would have "little chance to buy at the lower the price."
"So it is a gamble, but if a trader guesses right, there is a chance to make a lot of money," he said.
Weakness in the dollar and U.S. Energy Information Administration forecasts for higher fuel prices fed the gains in oil during Tuesday's New York trading session.
Crude prices are expected to average $58.70 a barrel this year, the EIA said in a monthly report released Tuesday in Washington D.C.
That's up from the $52 a barrel the EIA had forecast a month ago. It also raised the outlook for next year's crude price to $67.42 from $58.
Meanwhile, the dollar moved mostly lower, attracting investors to dollar-priced commodities, including oil.
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