The most effective way to control someone is to have them in debt to you.
The Federal Reserve’s holdings of publicly traded U.S. Treasury
securities—federal government debt—pushed above $2 trillion for the
first time last week, hitting approximately $2,001,093,000,000 as of
Aug. 14, according to the Fed’s latest weekly accounting.
The Fed’s accounting for the previous week showed that it had owned
approximately $1,993,375,000,000 in U.S. Treasury securities as of Aug.
7.
Back on Dec. 31, 2008, before the Fed began its strategy of
“Quantitative Easing,” the Fed owned only $475.9 billion in U.S.
Treasury securities. Since then, the Fed’s holdings of U.S. government
debt have more than quadrupled.
Launched in 2009, the Fed’s Quantitative Easing (QE) efforts have attempted to stimulate the economy.
http://www.cnsnews.com/news/article/2001093000000-fed-s-ownership-us-debt-breaks-2t-first-time
CREDIT SUISSE: The End Of Zero Interest Rates May Create A ‘Huge Financial Disruption Akin To The End Of A War
It wasn’t so long ago that the challenge of making money with
interest rates stuck around zero was investors’ top concern. Those days
are gone. Today, they’re worried about the opposite: the threat that
now-rising rates pose for fixed income investments. That, and the
downturn in emerging markets that many only recently embraced in the
hunt for yield caused by those near-zero rates.
It’s easy to identify the date that things changed: May 22, the day
that the Federal Reserve first alerted markets that it might soon start
“tapering” the $85 billion in monthly asset purchases it has been making
since December to juice the economy. And soon looks to be getting even
sooner. A steady improvement in U.S. employment figures—unemployment
fell from 7.6 percent in June to 7.4 percent in July—has brought into
focus the 6.5 percent unemployment target the Fed set as a prerequisite
for raising short-term interest rates. On Thursday, the U.S. Bureau of
Labor Statistics released yet another piece of good news on the
employment front: New applications for unemployment benefits sank to
their lowest levels in six years in July.
That’s great news for Americans who happen to be landing new jobs,
but not as pleasant for bond investors worried about rising rates. The
employment data, as well as news that inflation rose significantly in
July (another potential trigger for the Fed to tighten monetary policy)
led investors to dump U.S. Treasuries Thursday, pushing yields to a
two-year high. The yield on a 10-year Treasury bond has topped 2.8
percent, about 60 percent higher than at the beginning of the year.
Now that yields have started climbing, investors should expect that
improving economic momentum will keep them moving higher – and that will
have serious implications for investors in the world’s three largest
economies: European Union, Japan and the United States. “In our view,
the potential end of near-zero interest rates is exactly the type of
event that can trigger enormous changes in asset prices and capital
flows within and across economies,” Credit Suisse’s fixed income
strategy team explained in a note this week called ”Zero Isn’t Forever.”
“This can create a huge financial disruption akin to the end of a war.”
This particular “war” is ending later than it should have, the team
wrote, arguing that long-term interest rates have remained low far
longer than the data warranted. Rates in the G3 started falling in
mid-2011, when the European crisis was at its worst. But industrial
production momentum, a key indicator of global economic activity,
started looking more solid as early as last November. Add to that the
steady recovery in the U.S. labor market and the receding threat of a
breakup of the euro zone since European Central Bank President Mario
Draghi’s July 2012 pledge to take any measures necessary to hold the
monetary union together, and one would have thought rates would have
been climbing some six months before the Fed caused such pandemonium in
May. So why didn’t they? Because the major central banks continued
easing in the face of that good news, that’s why. And why would they do
that? Because they were more focused on falling inflation, despite the
fact that inflation is a lagging indicator. (If it’s not one thing, it’s
another.) The recent jump in long-term rates, then, is simply an
overdue correction. “We think long-term interest rates were
significantly mispriced even before tapering talk began,” the
strategists wrote.
The uptick in industrial production momentum around the world, which
tends to track quite closely with long-term bond yields, is still going
strong, and the analysts expect it to continue putting upward pressure
on rates. Global industrial production momentum went from -1 percent in
November to 4.1 percent in May, and the strategists expect it to hit 7
percent by the end of this year, as both Europe’s painful recession and
China’s significant slowdown appear to be flattening out.
http://www.thefinancialist.com/zero-isnt-forever/#ixzz2cVRkp1Iy
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