The solution to the erosion of the middle
class lifestyle is to destroy debt and other fixed costs and
eliminate self-sabotaging discretionary consumption.
Last week I covered the structural dynamics
causing the decline of the middle class.In general, the costs of
untradable services (healthcare, higher education, government) and
the rot of financialization have increased while wages have
stagnated. The Federal Reserve’s “solution” was to make
everyone who owned a house a speculator who could only keep even with
rising costs by riding the asset bubbles higher and then extracting
the “free money” generated by these bubbles before they popped.
The
Decline of Small Business and the Middle Class
The Changing Nature of Middle Class Work
How the Middle Class Lifestyle Became Unaffordable
The Destabilizing Truth: Only the Wealthy Can Afford a Middle Class Lifestyle
The Changing Nature of Middle Class Work
How the Middle Class Lifestyle Became Unaffordable
The Destabilizing Truth: Only the Wealthy Can Afford a Middle Class Lifestyle
Let’s
take two representative households to understand the decline of the
middle class and the solution. Let’s
say both households earn $81,000 annually, virtually all from wages
and salaries. This
puts the family at around the 70% mark of U.S. households, just
within the top 30%. (For context, the 2011 median household income
was $50,054.)
This income is solidly middle class: not low
enough to qualify for much in the way of government subsidies but not
high enough to avoid prioritizing and trade-offs.
Household A has a big mortgage on a house
they bought near the top of the market with a minimal down payment,
student loans, two auto loans and credit card balances. After making
the loan payments and paying for utilities, transportation,
groceries, employees’ share of healthcare costs, eating out, mobile
phone/broadband/TV service plans, there is little money left to save
for emergencies, travel, college for the kids, home maintenance, etc.
How do we describe this family: middle class
or debt-serfs? Actually, they’re both:measured by what they
superficially own (home, two vehicles, communication and
entertainment devices, college degrees, etc.), this household is
solidly middle class. But measured by how much income is spent
servicing debt, how much is left to accumulate or invest, the
family’s net worth (their assets’ market value minus debt)
and generational wealth, this household is mired
in debt-serfdom: their debts will never be paid off.
The mortgage will never be paid off, and by the
time the parents’ student loan debt is reduced, the next
generation’s student loans are piling up. The auto loans may
eventually be paid off, but it will look cheaper to buy a new vehicle
with a modest monthly payment than to pay costly auto maintenance
with scarce cash.
Debt anchors this household’s fealty to the
state and financial sector as securely as any medieval peasant
household’s bond to the noble’s manor house. This is the basis of
my characterization of the U.S. economy as a neofeudal
arrangement based on debt.
Household B shares the family home that is
owned free and clear (mortgage has been paid off) with other family
members, owns debt-free vehicles and maintains the cars
themselves, rarely eats out, has no student loans (either paid cash
for college, used scholarships and grants or paid their loans off),
buys cheap catastrophic medical insurance and invests money in
staying healthy/preventative care, i.e. eating and preparing real
food and enjoying regular fitness, lives close to work, invests some
of the ample family savings in enrichment (lessons for the kids,
etc.), occasional frugal travel and income-producing assets and
retains the rest for emergencies such as vehicle breakdown, medical
emergency, etc.
If this scenario seems “impossible,” recall
that 1/3 of all homes (roughly 26 million houses) in the U.S. are
owned free and clear, i.e. there is no mortgage.
How do we describe this family: middle class
or wealthy? Actually, they’re both: this household has a
solidly middle class income, but because they’ve eradicated fixed
costs (most importantly, debt, costly “gold-plated” healthcare
insurance, etc.) and discretionary luxuries such as eating out,
costly entertainment plans, etc., but measured by their values,
behaviors and net income saved and invested, this household is
upper-middle class or wealthy, having achieved a level of prosperity
that eludes free-spending households with double their annual income.
The solution to the erosion of the middle
class lifestyle is to destroy debt and other fixed costs and
eliminate self-sabotaging discretionary consumption that cripples the
household’s ability to accumulate capital that generates
income. There is nothing magical about the values and
behaviors that enable this; it boils down to choosing to leave
the permanent adolescence of debt-based consumerism
behind and move up to a more prosperous, productive way of
living: doing more with less.
I am indebted to Paul C. for this graphic
depiction of how instant-gratification consumption that appears
“cheap” is actually horrendously expensive when the consequential
costs and alternatives are considered:
This is but one example of many in which the
lower-cost alternative is the better choice, not just in value but
in opportunity costs. We assess the opportunity
costs of every purchase or loan by asking one simple
question: what else could we have done with this money?
It’s a question that is scale-invariant, that
is, it works as well for a nation as it does for an individual, and
every organization between these two ends of the economic spectrum.
In the case of the debt-serf “middle class”
household, the answer to the question, “what else could we have
done with our money?” is slowly build productive assets and
prosperity that is within your own control.
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