Another night; another Japanese government bond futures halt.
The last 2 days have seen JGB prices plunge at the fastest rate since
the post-Lehman debacles in Sept/Oct 2008 smashing back to 13 month
highs. 5Y yields are surging even more - trading above 34bps now (up from 9.9bps on March 5th).
These are simply astronomical moves in the context of JGB history and
strongly suggest Abe & Kuroda are anything but in control of the
quadrillion Yen domestic bond market as they jawbone inflation
expectations into the psychology of the people. Of course, the Nikkei is
surging (now up 9% in the last 5 days alone) amid JPY breaking above
102 (but for now it has rallied back to 101.80). Japnese interest rate
implied volatility is surging once again also (after its epic
collapse last week - which appears the worst-timed lifting of hedges
ever, or more like a lifting of hedges into an unwind of actual long
positions).
The last 2 days (since JPY broke 100) have been tempestuous at best!!
with 10Y JGB Futures prices seeing their biggest 2-day selloff since Lehman...
and 5Y Yields smashing higher to 13 month highs at the fastest rate in 30 months...
as JPY goes from weakness to weakness...
and Japanese interest rate vol is rising rapidly once again (which
will likely put pressure on banks to reduce risk budgets or unwind
positions markedly)...
Charts: Bloomberg
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