Source: EPJ
David Henderson informs us during a
speech at The Naval War College, in Newport, Rhode Island:
We all heard of OPEC in 1973 when they almost quadrupled
the price of oil. But OPEC formed in 1960. Why? Because President
Eisenhower had imposed import quotas on oil and given preference to
Mexico, Venezuela and Canada. And so some of the – Algeria was one of
them – I know there’s someone from Algeria here – and three other
countries organized to essentially fight back. And then they gradually
acquired members in the ’60s and early ’70s. So OPEC was an unintended
consequence of US import quotas.
Here's Henderson on war and the
ratchet effect:
I was a senior economist with President Reagan’s Council of
Economic Advisors, my office was an old, exotic-looking building called
the Old Executive Office Building, now the Eisenhower Building, located
right next to the White House, which is separated by a narrow driveway.
It’s the place most people work when they say they work in the White
House. It’s not literally true they do. I’ve started doing that, too.
Oh, yeah, I used to work in the White House.
(LAUGHTER)
Being a curious type, I looked into the history of the building and
found that when it was first built in about 1870, it housed the War
Department, the State Department and the Navy Department. That means
that that building, combined with the Treasury, which was on the other
side of the White House and just a carbon copy, housed virtually all of
government except the post office and the fledgling Department of
Agriculture. That was the size of the US government.
Now what
happened in between that led to such a massive growth of the federal
government in a country that was justifiably celebrated as the Land of
the Free? And by the way, let me just give you a couple of statistics.
The federal government in those days spent roughly between 2% and 3% of
GDP. Now, it spends approximately 21%.
So what happened? A
large part of what happened was war. A huge amount of the new power that
the government took on in the 20th century was power that it acquired
during and due to war. When the wars ended, the power diminished but
never back close to its prewar level.
Economic historian Robert Higgs, in his bookCrisis and Leviathan,
was the first to point out this pattern, and he called it a “ratchet
effect.”...we generally in America think of Prohibition as starting in
1920, two years after the war. Well, not quite. It started during the
war. During the war, the government imposed price controls on wheat. As
almost any economist can tell you, if you impose a price control below
the free-market price, you get a shortage. And when you get a shortage,
the government then puts itself in line to get the resources first, and
when everyone else has what’s left, it’s very hard for them to justify
making grain into alcohol. So under the Lever Act, they imposed
Prohibition. They refused to allow grain to be made into alcohol.
Also, other federal powers grew during World War I. The US government,
under Wilson, nationalized the railways. They gave it back into private
hands at the end of the war but they controlled them more at the end of
the war than they had before. We also had the first draft since the
Civil War in the United States as a result.
Also, our tax
system. We had started taxing income in 1913. The top tax rate was 7%.
And it was on incomes that, translated into today’s dollars, would be
over $7 million. By the end of the war, the top tax rate was 77%; 11
times. And although Secretary Mellon, the Treasury Secretary in the
’20s, brought the tax rate down, he never brought the top tax rate below
25%. And the bottom tax rate started at 1% and it went to 6%.
So a big part of the growth of government in the United States, the
federal government of the United States, as I said, was due to war.
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