Last week we commented that
based on TIC data, while "Belgium's" unprecedented Treasury buying
spree continues, one country has been dumping US bonds at an
unprecedented rate, and in March alone Russia sold a record $26 billion, or 20% of its holdings.
So as Russia is selling record amount of US paper, what is it buying? For the answer we go to Goldcore which tells us that...
Russia Buys 900,000 Ounces Of Gold Worth $1.17 Billion In April
The Russian central bank has again increased its gold reserves by another 900,000 ounces worth $1.17 billion in April.
Russia's gold reserves rose to 34.4 million troy ounces in April,
from 33.5 million troy ounces in March, the Russian central bank
announced on its website yesterday. The value of its gold holdings rose
to $44.30 billion as of May 1, compared with $43.36 billion a month
earlier, it added.
The following is a summary from Bloomberg of the April data template
on international reserves and foreign currency liquidity from the
Central Bank of Russia in Moscow:
Russia's gold & foreign exchange reserves remained virtually
unchanged at USD 471.1billion in the week ending May 9. Russia’s
reserves have fallen since the crisis began but remain very sizeable.
The reserves include monetary gold, special drawing rights, reserve
position at the IMF and foreign exchange.
The 900,000 ounce purchase is a lot of physical gold in ounce or
tonnage terms but as a percentage of Russian foreign exchange reserves
it is a very small 0.24%.
Gold as a percentage of the overall Russian reserves is now nearly 10%. This remains well below the average gold holding as
a percentage of foreign exchange reserves of major central banks such
as the Bundesbank, Bank of France and the Federal Reserve which is over
65%.
The Russian central bank has been gradually increasing the Russian
reserves since 2006 (see chart above). On average they have been
accumulating 0.5 million troy ounces every month. Therefore, the near 1
million ounce purchase in April is a definite increase in demand.
This was to be expected given the very pronounced geopolitical
tension with the U.S. and west over Ukraine. Indeed the TIC data shows
that Russia has been aggressively divesting themselves of U.S.
Treasuries.
Russian holdings of U.S. Treasuries fell very sharp, by nearly $50
billion, between October and March 2014 or nearly a third of Russia’s
total holdings. Over half of the plunge came in March, when $26 billion
was liquidated as western sanctions were imposed. TIC Data for April
won’t be available until June and will make for very interesting
reading.
Especially given the mysterious huge U.S. Treasury buying that is
being done by little Belgium. This has analysts scratching their heads
and has aroused suspicions that the Fed and or the ECB may be behind the
huge Belgian purchases.
Russian Gold Reserves in Million Fine Troy Ounces - 1995-2014 - Monthly Chart (Bloomberg)
Russia has already made their intentions regarding gold very clear.
Numerous high ranking officials have affirmed how they view gold as an
important monetary asset and Putin himself has had many publicised
photos in which he very enthusiastically holds large gold bars.
On May 25th 2012, the deputy chairman of Russia's central bank,
Sergey Shvetsov, said that the Bank of Russia plans to keep buying gold
in order to diversify their foreign exchange reserves.
"Last year we bought about 100 tonnes. This year it will be less but
still a considerable figure," Shvetsov told Reuters at the time.
The World Gold Council reported yesterday that central bank purchases
were 70% above their 5-year quarterly average, led by Iraq and Russia.
The Eurozone actually became a net buyer thanks to Latvia joining the
single currency union, adding its gold to the Eurozone reserves as part
of the Euro treaty.
Russia may be planning to give the ruble some form of gold backing in
order to protect the ruble from devaluations and protect Russia from
an international monetary crisis and the soon to return currency wars.
Russian central bank demand and indeed global central banks demand is
set to continue as macroeconomic, monetary and geopolitical
uncertainty is unlikely to abate any time soon. Indeed, it may escalate
substantially in the coming months as we move into the next phase of
the global debt crisis.
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