Everyone knows that the sun rises in the East, moves across our
skies, and sets in the West. Over the past few years, gold buying has
also been rising in the East and moving in an extraordinary migration
away from Western banks and out of the hands of Western investors.
Central Banks in the Far East, the Middle East and Russia have been
stockpiling physical gold … as the West has held onto stakes of paper
ETF’s, futures contracts, and the unbacked dollar.
China seized its golden opportunity last year as its gold consumption
increased 41%, surpassing an astonishing 1,000 tonnes for the first
time ever. A rising Chinese middle class pushed demand for gold jewelry
up 43% and gold bullion up 57%. Chinese consumption of gold has quadrupled in the last decade, toppling India to now take the top spot in global consumer demand.
India, now the second largest buyer of gold in the world, continues
to consume gold at staggering levels for festivals, weddings,
ornamentation and as an investment. In an attempt to discourage gold
purchasing, the Reserve Bank of India has levied heavy taxes on gold
imports to help cut its widening trade deficit. As a result, Indians
have resorted to smuggling gold into the country via Nepal, Pakistan and
Dubai as reports of gold hidden in flower pots, food processors and
grains are becoming rampant. There is now increasing pressure on the
Indian government to ease the tariffs.
In the last decade, Russia has added 570 metric tons of gold to its
stockpile. By adding another 77 tonnes last year, it has increased its
gold holdings to over 1042 tonnes. Putin has made no secret of his
disdain for the US dollar’s dominance in the global financial system. He
has orchestrated one of the biggest gold buy-ups in history to diversify Russia’s reserves and strengthen the ruble.
Don’t look now but Iraq is also buying gold. The Central Bank of Iraq bought 36 tons last month
in an attempt to stabilize their currency and in effect doubled their
gold reserves. It is the largest purchase by a single nation in three
years!
So what do all of these countries know that we don’t? Is China
grooming the yuan to be a new gold-backed reserve currency? Is India
trying to control the world gold market? Is Russia trying to solidify
its new power? Is Iraq preparing for an international currency collapse?
Global gold theories abound but it may come down to something far
more fundamental. The East and West view gold differently. To citizens
in China and India, gold is coveted at every level of society. It is
their pension fund and their retirement plan. It is not only revered for
its beauty, but it is held long-term for its enduring value. It is a
stable and secure asset that is subsequently handed down generation
after generation. To foreign governments, gold wealth is leverage on the
world stage. It is how a country commands fiscal respect and the only
way that smaller or emerging nations can stabilize their currencies and
get an invite to the “adult table.”
So perhaps the West doesn’t “get gold.” Perhaps we are so enamored
with the lure of the almighty “fiat dollar” that we have forgotten that
physical gold is real money. Ultimately, it’s not a question of which
view is smarter or better. The bottom line is that billions of people in
the Far East, the Middle East, and Russia are amassing gold and
accumulating wealth at historic levels. We would be wise to take note of
this critical migration of capital and the economic power that
accompanies it.
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