China’s central bank is now the latest to roll out capital controls
In short, there will be a three-day suspension of domestic renminbi
transfers. There will also be a suspension, spanning nine calendar
days, of conversions of renminbi to foreign currency.
The specific reason given—“system maintenance” at the central bank—is
preposterous. It is not credible that during the highest usage period
in the year—the weeklong Lunar New Year holiday beginning January 31—the
central bank would schedule an upgrade and shut down cash transfers.
A better explanation is that the country’s banking system is running
dry. Yes, there is an increased need for money in the run-up to and
during the Lunar New Year holiday, but that is only a small factor.
After all, central bank officials knew this spike in demand was
coming—it occurs every year at this time—and a core function of central
banks is to manage seasonal liquidity fluctuations. Moreover, the
holiday has not started yet, and the PBOC, as that institution is known,
could have added more liquidity to meet cash needs.
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