by
GoldCore
Today’s AM fix was USD 1,237.50, EUR 913.08
and GBP 754.30 per ounce.
Friday’s AM fix was USD 1,245.25, EUR 915.29 and GBP 763.07 per ounce.
Friday’s AM fix was USD 1,245.25, EUR 915.29 and GBP 763.07 per ounce.
Gold climbed $13.60 or 1.07% Friday, closing at
$1,251.20/oz. Silver rose $0.31 or 1.58% closing at $19.99/oz. Gold
and silver were both up for the week at 0.64% and 0.60%,
respectively. Platinum edged up $4.85, or 0.4%, to $1,360.25/oz and
palladium fell $0.60, or 0.1%, to $715.60/oz.
Gold is lower today for the first time in three
days as continuing speculation regarding possible ‘tapering’ by
the Fed contributes to poor sentiment. The Bank of England and ECB
meet this week and market participants await central bank policy
decisions and will look for guidance regarding the continuation of
ultra loose monetary policies.
As ever, it is important to watch what the Fed
and central banks do rather than what they say.
U.S.
data including nonfarm payrolls, third quarter GDP and manufacturing
PMI will be released this week, giving more insight into the
fragility of the U.S. economy. The nonfarm payroll report on Friday
is awaited and a poor number should see another spike in gold.
Gold was 0.64% higher last week which was
important from a technical perspective and after the very poor
November. Seasonally, November is one of gold’s best months but
gold ended November trading on Friday down 5.4%, its biggest monthly
loss since June.
Gold will likely be supported by increased
physical demand which has picked up at these lower price levels.
Demand could pick up sharply again if prices fall below $1,240.
Tradition
Of Respecting Private Property Makes
Allocated Gold In Switzerland PopularDukas Copy TV interviewed Research Director, Mark O’Byrne, over the weekend and discussed gold’s recent poor performance, the paradigm shift that is the “enormous” Chinese gold story and Switzerland’s increasing importance in the global gold market.
Allocated Gold In Switzerland PopularDukas Copy TV interviewed Research Director, Mark O’Byrne, over the weekend and discussed gold’s recent poor performance, the paradigm shift that is the “enormous” Chinese gold story and Switzerland’s increasing importance in the global gold market.
The key points from the interview were the
following:
? The U.S. economy is weaker than is believed
and the recent positive jobs number in itself does not indicate an
economic recovery.
?
Warning that anything can happen in the short term and prices can be
volatile. That is one of the reasons why people should
consider dollar
cost averaging and gradually accumulating a position.
? Gravity of situation not understood by
people. Fact that the U.S. has to print $85 billion every month to
buy its own mortgage and government debt is astounding.
? Inflation has not happened yet but it will
and those who own gold as hedge against inflation will again be
rewarded in the medium to long term.
? The China gold story is enormous. There
is a paradigm shift with China’s per capita consumption of 1.3
billion people increasing from near zero in 2003. This is because
from 1950-2003 gold ownership was banned in China under Chairman Mao.
It has been increasing every year since 2003.
? At present, China is producing and importing
nearly half of global gold annual production almost 1,000 tons. This
is just the gold that is imported through Hong Kong. There is also a
huge amount of gold imported into other Chinese cities.
? While 1,000 tonnes is a lot in terms of
tonnage, in dollar terms it is very small and at today’s price it
is worth just under $40 billion. This is roughly what the Federal
Reserve prints in just two weeks – every two weeks!
? Institutional physical gold is flowing into
Switzerland from London. Large London Good Delivery bars (400 oz) are
being melted down in refineries in Switzerland and made into smaller
formats, such as kilo bars, for shipment to Asia.
? Switzerland and Germany have the highest per
capita consumption of gold in Europe due to their understanding of
the risks inherent in paper currencies and gold’s value as a store
of wealth.
? People internationally are opting to store
gold in allocated accounts in Switzerland due to their tradition of
respecting private property and the fact that their economy is very
sound. Therefore it is a good place to diversify assets in order to
protect wealth.
? GoldCore remain negative on gold in the short
term due to the poor technicals and momentum. However, the medium and
long term outlook is positive and we believe gold can surpass its
inflation adjusted price from the 1980s of $2,400/oz in the coming
years.
The ‘GoldCore
on Gold’ video can be watched here.
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