by Phoenix Capital Research
The economic recovery hit another record yesterday.
We’ve already had an incredible record setting streak for food stamp
usage. Now we can add high unemployment to the mix. The US economy just
posted its 54th straight month at which unemployment was north of 7.5%.
This has never happened before. And the worst part is that
unemployment is in fact much worse than this indicates. Indeed, the Feds
implement multiple gimmicks to maneuver the unemployment number down.
As I’ve told Private Wealth Advisory subscribers, the most nefarious is simply not counting those who haven’t looked for a job recently as unemployed.
BOOM! Suddenly a lot of the people who are in fact unemployed don’t
count and the unemployment rate drops. After all, one cannot help but
wonder how one in five US households is on food stamps, while
unemployment is down near 7.5%.
A much better measure of unemployment which I’ve shared with Private Wealth Advisory subscribers,
is U6 unemployment, which measures those unemployed plus those who are
unemployed and have looked for work in the last 12 months and those who
are working part-time for economic reasons.
When you use this measurement, the unemployment rate is closer to 14.3%.
Against this backdrop of weak employment analysts continue to believe
that the US economy will pick up in the second half of 2013. This is
absolutely impossible. Weak employment means lower incomes. Lower
incomes means lower consumer spending. Lower consumer spending means
lower economic growth.
I warned Private Wealth Advisory subscribers in our most recent issue that the stock market was on borrowed time. The
markets tend to stage summer rallies into the Fourth of July weekend,
but with interest rates rising and the bond bubble beginning to burst,
things are going to get much worse in a hurry.
This could easily become truly catastrophic. The world is in a
massive debt bubble and the Central banks are now officially losing
control. The stage is now set for a collapse that could make 2008 look
like a joke.
If you are not preparing in advance for this, the time to get started is NOW.
For more market insights and commentary, visit us at:
www.gainspainscapital.com
Best Regards
Graham Summers
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