Source: WSJ
The latest setback for Greece: MSCI Inc. MSCI -0.92% booted the euro-zone member from its index of developed countries.
The decision, announced late Tuesday, is the first time the index
provider demoted a country from its “developed” to its “emerging-market”
category since the launch of its flagship emerging-markets index in
1987.
It affirms what investors have believed for years. Multiple bailouts
by the European Union and the International Monetary Fund, a sharp
contraction in gross domestic product and a still-large debt burden mean
Greece now has more in common with Hungary than France.
MSCI, which estimates that almost $7 trillion of investments track
its indexes, said Greece failed to qualify as a developed market based
on several criteria, including the ease with which money managers can
trade shares on the country’s stock market. About $1.4 trillion tracks
the MSCI Emerging Markets Index.
While there is some debate as to how certain countries should be
labeled, MSCI emphasizes size and accessibility of stock markets.
Developed markets tend to have large stock markets and rules that
encourage foreign investment, while the opposite is often true for
emerging markets.
“Greece is not qualifying in terms of the size of the market,” Remy
Briand, managing director and global head of MSCI index research, said
in a conference call.
When it officially joins the MSCI Emerging Markets Index in November, Greece will have a 0.3% weighting, Mr. Briand said.
Greece’s stock market staged a rally last year and at the start of
this year, but shares have sold off in recent weeks as investors have
moved away from riskier assets globally. The FTSE Greece index has
slipped almost 5% in the past month, according to FactSet.
The government continues to struggle with debt payments. It also is
under pressure to raise money through asset sales, which are off to a
weak start. On Monday, Greece didn’t receive any bids in the auction of
its natural-gas monopoly, darkening the country’s financial outlook.
Greece has been an emerging market before. MSCI had Greece
categorized as an emerging market until May 2001, when it was
reclassified as a developed market shortly after adopting the euro.
Other countries saw promotions on Tuesday. Qatar and United Arab
Emirates were moved to emerging-market status from the frontier
category.
Tuesday’s moves by MSCI are “a reminder of the continued shift of
economic power from the West to the East,” Thomas Costerg, an economist
at Standard Chartered Bank, wrote in an email.
South Korea and Taiwan, however, will maintain their status as
emerging markets, MSCI said. The firm has kept South Korea under review
for a potential upgrade to developed-market status since June 2008,
while Taiwan has been under review since June 2009.
MSCI classified Morocco as a frontier market, a step down from
emerging market. MSCI said it may begin consultations with investors
over whether Egypt should be excluded from its emerging-markets index
because of foreign-exchange shortages in the country.
Neither the left nor right in Greece has EVER understood free markets: https://sites.google.com/site/vasjpan2/Home/greekdebt.pdf
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