How to Fix the Fix
by Adrian Ash, BullionVault
US regulator the CFTC is anxious about the London gold fix. But what is the fix, and why…?
SO IS the London gold fix a fix? US derivatives-market regulators think it might be.
The CFTC is no doubt absolutely within its rights to question the use of certain prices as reference points
(aka “marks”) in US transactions. Joining the International Roundtable
on Financial Benchmarks three weeks ago, its commissioner Bart Chilton said
he also thought many other markets might deserve attention, too. But
quite what a Washington commission overseeing the US futures markets
might achieve – or hope to – as regards the London Fixings as a process,
however, we can’t imagine.
What is the London gold fix, and why does it exist? The fixing exists
because, in the physical bullion market, there isn’t any single price
at any one time. Instead, all the different bullion banks and dealers
quote their own prices direct to their clients. So the deals they strike
are unique, with no centralized “clearing house” or “recognized
exchange” reporting those deals as some kind of official price.
This is very different to a formal stock market or derivatives
exchange. It makes valuing gold (in central bank vaults, say, or jewelry
stockpiles) difficult. It also means that less active traders – such as
gold miners, or industrial users – can’t be confident they got “true”
market price.
Hence the fix, and hence it’s name. The fixing is essentially a
snapshot of where the market stands for gold at 10:30am and 3pm (and for
silver at midday) in London, heart of the world’s physical bullion
trade.
To take that snapshot, the biggest bullion banks look at their
outstanding client orders, net off the buyers and sellers, and then get
together to agree a price which clears what remains. So make no mistake –
the fix is NOT a notional price.
Real supply and demand from real sellers and buyers creates the fix,
and real business is done at that price (lots of it, too). That makes
the fixing very different from the interbank Libor lending rate.
Libor, as you’ll recall, is merely reported by the big banks. It
doesn’t necessarily match interest rates which anyone has been charged
or paid. Which clearly opens the door to fraud, manipulation and – four
or five years after regulators catch onto the scandal – big fines for
offenders.
The London bullion fixes, in contrast, offer genuine price discovery.
No, it isn’t formally regulated by government (oh horror!). Yes, the
fix is done behind closed doors (gasp!). But the banks’ clients can
enter orders to buy (or sell) at the Fix if it is below (or above) a
certain level, and they can be updated throughout the process, too. It
also follows and then leads the “spot price” quoted in live wholesale
trading. But that single “spot price” doesn’t exist, remember. The fix
exists to fill that gap. And running since at least 1919 (and probably before, history fans) it has for almost a century acted as the global benchmark where none existed before.
Buy wholesale gold for Hong Kong delivery, and you’ll be quoted the
London price plus (or minus) a premium for delivery. Ask a central bank
the value of its reserves or a stockist the value of its holdings, and
they’ll refer to the PM gold fix in their answer. Sell a gold mining
company a long-term forward contract so they can hedge their exposure to
prices today or raise capital to finance tomorrow’s drilling, and the PM London gold fix will be your obvious reference.
You want another? How might this more-perfect benchmark be achieved
exactly? No doubt communism is a long way from Bart Chilton’s
intentions. But judging from the CFTC commissioner’s comments to date,
the concern seems to be that a “government, quasi-government or
appropriate not-for-profit entity should oversee” how prices are
reached.
Soviet Russia tried that for a while. Didn’t end well.
Adrian Ash is head of research at BullionVault
– the secure, low-cost gold and silver market for private investors
online, where you can buy gold and silver vaulted in Zurich on just 0.5%
dealing fees.
(c) BullionVault 2013
Please Note: This article is to inform your thinking, not lead
it. Only you can decide the best place for your money, and any decision
you make will put your money at risk. Information or data included here
may have already been overtaken by events – and must be verified
elsewhere – should you choose to act on it.
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