Can a barrel of oil “default”? A bushel of wheat? Gold or Silver? Of course not but these are, in today’s upside down backwards world considered “risk assets”. How whacked out have we become? Sovereign governments that just 20 years ago would have been taken out back to the financial “disciplinary woodshed” are considered AAA rated or close to it, but physical commodities are risk assets.
2013 Silver Eagles IN STOCK As Low As $2.69 Over Spot at SDBullion!
Great Britain lost their AAA rating last week
and joined the club of “non AAA” insolvents. To be honest with you,
this took me a bit by surprise. Not because they were downgraded but
because they were AAA rated in the first place! I knew that they were
AAA rated ”officially” but I guess my subconscious got the best of me
because if asked I would have told you they were not. Britain? AAA?
There is no comedy club on the planet that could have passed this off
with a straight face.
While on the subject of AAA
ratings, there are a few left like Germany and The Netherlands but I
ask, is there really, truly…anything paper that deserves a ”triple A”
rating? Is there anything, anywhere on “paper” that cannot default?
This goes for bonds, bank accounts and of course the currencies
themselves. Can a barrel of oil “default”? A bushel of wheat?
Gold or Silver? Of course not but these are, in today’s upside down
backwards world considered “risk assets”. How whacked out have we
become? Sovereign governments that just 20 years ago would have been
taken out back to the financial “disciplinary woodshed” are considered
AAA rated or close to it.
Forget about the
“AAA” ratings being fake, what exactly can you do with your money if
you are a good little sheep and stay within the “box”? There are no
bonds anywhere on the planet that compensate you for current inflation…
When you add in and consider future inflation, the current “leak” of
wealth annually will become a sudden event that discounts EVERYTHING.
The “discounting” process is THE reason that governments are
manipulating markets. They have lowered interest rates beyond any
reasonable level (and been there for many years) so in order to justify
this, “markets” have to reflect this.
It is
important to understand that not only is the “quality” false in the bond
markets, so is the “math”. When you look at inflation, bonds don’t
make any sense. Forget about the reality that inflation is running at
8-10%, use the bogus mainstream inflation rates we are spoon fed daily.
In what world does it make sense to lend your money for year at 1/4%
when “official” inflation is running at 2%? How does it make any sense
to lend your money for 10 years at 2%? Are bond investors in the
business of locking in guaranteed losses year after year? Is this
how the credit markets worked all these years? Is this normal? Or is
it the “new normal”?
Maybe it is but you must
understand that the math doesn’t work and will do nothing other than
destroy capital…at a faster and faster pace as the credit markets get
larger and the deadbeats borrow more and more. It doesn’t matter that
the “sheep” are not the buyers anymore (they are through bond funds),
capital is getting destroyed. It doesn’t matter who the “lender” is,
the Fed, ECB, BOE or BOJ, it will still be destroyed. Mathematically
and logically it makes no sense, morally and ethically it makes no
sense. The ONLY area that it makes any sense at all is politically.
Negative interest rates can only make sense in order to prolong the
“wrong” and to cover your tracks. “Tracks” being past ill advised
policy, theft and fraud.
As far as Britain is
concerned, they were not AAA in the first place no matter how warped
your thought process is.. They are (as is the rest of the world)
embarking on further QE. They will issue more debt to lower rates
further, this will increase inflation and water down the existing stock
of paper. In what world would any sane investor choose this path? As
far as I see it, the investment “options” available to those with any
sanity left has been narrowed down to a mere handful and no matter what
you choose it weighs more than paper with lots and lots of “zeroes” on
it. Regards, Bill H.
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