Top trends researcher Gerald Celente pulls no punches when he predicts,
“The world is going to war.” Celente
says what is happening today happened before, prior to World War
II. Celente says the pattern is the same as the one that started in
1929,
“crash . . . depression, currency wars, trade wars, and world war.” Celente says,
“When
you follow the time lines, we are now in the late 1930’s…. People are
going to be going into gold.” Join Greg Hunter as he goes One-on-One
with Gerald Celente.
This article is based on a Q&A with Andy Hoffman, marketing director at Miles Franklin, the largest bullion dealer in the US.
The general macro economic outlook of Andy Hoffman is based on the
expectation we will see “more of the same,” including more money
printing, weaker economies, higher unemployment, social unrest … and
importantly weaker currencies. With the Dow Jones index almost at
all-time highs (14,009 closing price on February 1st) and the VIX
indicator close to all time lows (12.90 on February 1st), weakness is
not reflected in equity prices.
Markets are not real; they no longer exist. Every market is manipulated to levels we have never seen before. Governments have always been buying bonds. Now they admit that they are buying stocks as well; they use the exchange stabilization fund to manipulate currencies. They
have so thoroughly taken over the market that they have literally
destroyed volatility. That is why the metals are the safest place to be.
This is clearly an artificial situation and cannot go on forever.
These conditions have continued for much longer than expected. Andy
Hoffman can hardly believe the slow motion pace at which conditions are
deteriorating, saying “this will continue until it stops.” Case in point
is the debt situation which went from arithmetic to parabolic growth.
Somewhere it will stop; the point is nobody knows when and how exactly.
The first signs of higher interest rates are there in the US and Japan,
with the
10 year Treasury yield moving to 2% very recently. Governments will react with even more monetary easing (QE). Japan has just announced QE11….
In September 2010, the Brazilian Finance Minister, Guido Mantega,
pointed a rhetorical finger at the United States and accused the world’s
largest economy of conducting a “currency war”. Suggesting that
emerging markets were being unfairly squeezed by a falling dollar, which
makes US exports more competitive, Mantega lit the touch paper on a
controversy that won’t go away.
For now, “currency wars” are a relatively arcane debate limited to
foreign exchange specialists and diplomats. But this issue has already
adversely affected hundreds of millions of people who consider
themselves largely immune to the vicissitudes of international markets,
not least in the UK. History shows, also, such currency disputes
can escalate from rhetorical spats into disastrously counter-productive
economic conflict.
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