Sunday, July 5, 2015

Feds ‘Lose’ Audits for Fort Knox Gold

By The Resident

The blog, goldseek.com, recently published a report on a Freedom of Information Act request they recently filed with the US government. They were seeking seven reports from federal audits of the gold at Fort Knox. The government's response? They can't find those reports - even though they reference those reports as evidence of the gold stored at Fort Knox in a number of ways. The Resident discusses.

 This article may be re-posted in full with attribution.

The Future of Greece Without Illusions – The National and Global Significance of a “No” Vote

In this country where we live today, on the very soil we tread, the “ideologist” of the Athenian Republic, Protagoras, proclaimed “Man is the measure of all things”, for the first time in the history of humanity.
The Greek people, at one of the most critical and dramatic crossroads of a history going back several thousands of years, for which they feel proud and justifiably so, shall be called, this coming Sunday, to decide once again whether man is the measure of all things or money is the measure of all things, the latter being the central “motto” and “belief” of the global financial oligarchy, the European “elites” and their domestic offshoots, attacking Greece. And in the face of the Greeks, they are attacking the social and democratic conquests of all Europeans after their victory in 1945 against fascism, if not after the French Revolution.
A moment comes for man, societies and nations alike, when they have to decide «where they stand». This moment has now come for the Greek people. They will have to decide once for all that their Alexandria[1]  of a few decades of a relatively stable and democratic prosperity that followed the fall of the junta in 1974 and accession to the EC in 1981 is definitively lost. The real question facing this people, though, is whether they will abandon this Alexandria with dignity, as urges their great Poet, whether they will take the thorny and dangerous road towards a new future, a new perspective for their country, or whether they will fall apart in a state of enslavement.
1940, 2004, 2015
The answer the Greeks are going to give to the creditors’ ultimatum is of no less importance than the importance of the answer they gave to Benito Mussolini’s ultimatum on October 28, 1940. An answer that led to the first victory of the Allies in World War II and to a delaying of the German attack against the USSR which was probably decisive for the outcome of the war. Their answer made Winston Churchill, celebrated for his wit and not a friend of the Greeks, say: “Hence we will not say that Greeks fight like heroes, but that heroes fight like Greeks!.”
The Greeks didn’t give this answer to Mussolini’s ultimatum out of sympathy for their own regime, nor because they were in a better position than they are today. They didn’t put up the strongest resistance, proportionally to the country’s size, in the Nazi-occupied Europe, because the conditions were favorable to them or because they didn’t have anything to lose. They acted the way they did because, deep down, they felt that they could not survive without their dignity. As a people, we may be full of faults. But, I find it hard to believe that some decades of consumerism were sufficient to undermine our sense of self-pride (“filotimo”) that has always been with us during the critical times of our history.
The significance of a NO in 2015 is no lesser than that of the NO uttered by the citizens of the Republic of Cyprus in the 2004 referendum, who refused to give in to the strongest international pressures in order to accept a plan which would abolish their independent and democratic state. It is no lesser either than that of the NO uttered by the French and the Dutch (2005 referendum), the Irish (2008 referendum) and the Icelanders (2010) against Euroliberalism, despite the fact that these NOs, with the exception of the one in Iceland, were later belied by their leaderships.
What these NO had in common, despite the different circumstances, was people’s opposition to the dissolution of their national  and popular sovereignty, of their independence and democracy, in the only context where it still exists in today’s world, that of the nation-state. This is what the Annan plan attempted to do in Cyprus or the European constitutional treaty in Europe.
Dignity
The question History is now asking us, by means of the «take it or leave it» question of the creditors, is whether we continue or not to consider our national and individual dignity as the fundamental value which allowed our people and civilization to survive in the midst of defeats, incredible threats and disasters for several thousands of years. We have known many  defeats in the course of our history. But we never signed off our enslavement – this is the reason that the Greek state exists today, be it a miserable, poor one; but the only one we have got. We shall suffer of course if we resist the will of the mighty. But, where shall we be without our own state, in the ocean of a barbarous, “prehistoric” globalisation which causes whole nations to perish?
This coming Sunday we are not merely called to decide whether we accept the creditors’ ultimatum. We are called to determine whether we consider the existence of a state of even a rudimentary independence and democracy, as the most fundamental prerequisite for our national survival.
Peoples have been called times and again in their history to choose between destruction and enslavement. The creditors do not even place us before such a dilemma. They want both. Our destruction and our enslavement! The only thing they are offering us is the continuation of a program which has caused, beyond the shadow of a doubt, as the greatest economists of Europe, America and Russia admit, the biggest financial, social and political disaster in Western (capitalist) Europe after 1945. Instead of apologizing for the destruction they have caused, they are now impeding the Greek government from taking even elemental measures to enable hundreds of thousands of people to have some food, the medication they need, electricity, and heating, a roof over their heads; they are killing the hopes of a whole people. These are the hands we have permitted to take the control of Europe!
The disillusionment
Many, including the SYRIZA leadership, had been under huge illusions and, unfortunately, they are still suffering under them. They believed that the Greek disaster was nothing but a misunderstanding, a mistake of the prevailing European elites. After Monday, June 22, however, all these illusions ought to have been dispelled. The Greek government presented to the institutions a proposal which was in line, unfortunately, with the program’s spirit, and a far cry from SΥRΙΖΑ’S pre-electoral announcements on the basis of which it won the elections. Had the proposal been accepted, it would not have solved any problems. For many, this was an unacceptable proposal of capitulation.
What was the creditors’ reaction to this proposal? Initially, they expressed their satisfaction because the spoiled leader of a «spoiled» country was finally beginning to «see reason». After that they began asking him for more concessions! They as good as told him “we are not interested in taking prisoners of war, we are demanding your full surrender and suicide.”
Faced with the political suicide option he was given for himself and the option of a national-social suicide for his country, Alexis Tsipras and his closest associates, who never wanted or prepared for a rupture (on the contrary, they turned against all those of us who kept telling them to prepare for the worse option), proclaimed – and rightly so – a referendum, an idea which had been «brewing» since 2012 in the highest echelons of SYRIZA.
It is now the time for the Greek people to answer whether they accept or not the ultimatum. We hope that they will reject it with a sweeping majority, although the indecisive stance of the SYRIZA leadership, its weakness in defending its own choice, risks to bring about disastrous results, aggravating the population’s doubts and fears.
The leaders of SYRIZA need to understand that they have already crossed the Rubicon. They did so when they asked for the vote of the Greek people in order to stop the disastrous course of the memorandum. They crossed it yet again when they decided to hold a referendum. By so doing they cut off bridges. They will drown and will drown us if they attempt to reverse their course.
If they now turn around and look where they were, even a week ago, they will turn into pillars of salt like Lot’s wife did. If they capitulate, if they do not assume the consequences of their choices, they will be adding ridicule to defeat.
Let not Alexis Tsipras entertain any illusions. If he cops out now, he will not even be allowed to have George Papandreou’s relatively quiet retirement. George is a man who always belonged to the “family”, to the club of the “international establishment”, he is their man. Alexis Tsipras shall be humiliated and thrown to the dogs, as an example for all European peoples and politicians to see what is the fate of those who dare challenge the masters.
There is only one way for the SYRIZA leaders. Rid themselves of their remaining illusions and finish off what they started, taking all necessary measures to organize the Greek people’s struggle for the rescue of their country, and explaining to them what to do and why. We shall never tire of repeating that it is not possible to organise the Missolonghi exodus [2] by inviting people to a drink of ouzo on the beach of Aitolikon. Α la guerre, comme à la guerre, Napoleon used to say. And Greece has been at war since 2010, only, till now, it has chosen not to retaliate!
We hope that the Greek citizens, when asked by their children if they personally accepted the TROIKA ultimatum in 2015, will be in a position to answer them without lowering their heads. We also hope that the leaders of the country will find the will and the mind to meet the historical challenge it is facing.
Dimitris Konstantakopoulos can be reached through his blog: Konstantakopoulos.blogspot.com.
(Translated from Greek)
Notes. 
[1] A poem by C. Cavafy,  a Greek poet from Alexandria (1863-1933)
[2] A town which had been besieged by the Ottomans during the Greek Revolution of 1821 and the inhabitants decided on a heroic exodus after they had been exhausted by the long siege of their town. Aitolikon is a small city near it.
Source: Counterpunch, 3 July 2015
 

HAIRCUT: Greek Banks Prepare To Raid Deposits

(ATHENS)  Greek banks are preparing contingency plans for a possible “bail-in” of depositors amid fears the country is heading for financial collapse, bankers and businesspeople with knowledge of the measures said on Friday.
The plans, which call for a “haircut” of at least 30 per cent on deposits above €8,000, sketch out an increasingly likely scenario for at least one bank, the sources said.
A Greek bail-in could resemble the rescue plan agreed by Cyprus in 2013, when customers’ funds were seized to shore up the banks, with a haircut imposed on uninsured deposits over €100,000.
It would be implemented as part of a recapitalisation of Greek banks that would be agreed with the country’s creditors — the European Commission, International Monetary Fund and European Central Bank.
“It [the haircut] would take place in the context of an overall restructuring of the bank sector once Greece is back in a bailout programme,” said one person following the issue. “This is not something that is going to happen immediately.”
Eurozone officials said no decision had been taken to wind up any Greek banks or initiate a bail-in of depositors, a process that would be started by the ECB declaring the banks insolvent or pulling emergency loans.
Greece’s banks have been closed since Monday, when capital controls were imposed to prevent a bank run following the leftwing Syriza-led government’s call for a referendum on a bailout plan it had earlier rejected. Greece’s highest court rejected an appeal by two citizens on Friday who had asked for the referendum to be declared unconstitutional.
Depositors can withdraw only €60 a day from bank ATM cash machines, while requests to transfer funds abroad have to be approved by a special finance ministry committee in co-operation with the Greek central bank.
Two senior Athens bankers said the country had only enough cash to keep ATMs supplied until the middle of next week. This followed the ECB’s decision this week not to increase Greece’s allocation of emergency liquidity assistance after the bailout programme ended on June 30.
The outcome of Sunday’s referendum will determine how quickly Greece wraps up a new bailout agreement with creditors, a top Greek banker said.
“The solvency of Greek banks is not currently an issue, but obviously the banks will be affected by how soon the country enters a new programme,” the same banker said.
Greek deposits are guaranteed up to €100,000, in line with EU banking directives, but the country’s deposit insurance fund amounts to only €3bn, which would not be enough to cover demand in case of a bank collapse.
With few deposits over €100,000 left in the banks after six months of capital flight, “it makes sense for the banks to consider imposing a haircut on small depositors as part of a recapitalisation. . . It could even be flagged as a one-off tax,” said one analyst.

Retail Therapy Wins Over Socializing for Americans

The average American spends 42 minutes shopping each day, but only 35 minutes socializing.
That’s the latest result of the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics’ annual “American Time Use Survey.” The survey is based on annual average data from the American Time Use Survey about how individuals age 15 and over spend their time.
It gets better on the weekends though. Although time spent buying things goes up to 50 minutes per day on weekends and holidays, Americans spend 62 minutes per day socializing.
As far as sports and volunteering goes? Forget about it. The average American spends 18 minutes per day participating in sports, exercise and recreation, and just 9 minutes per day volunteering.

The REAL story behind GreeceCrisis: how we are kept in Odious Debt, Deficit, Crisis and Austerity

BY
– a stubborn deadlock that keeps the 99% in planned poverty –

In extant financial-economic system Banks keep “bailing out” Governments and Governments keep “bailing out” Banks, and in both cases the 99% of us – the Taxpayers – have to pay £ / € / $ trillions. Meanwhile the elites of each country, the “top 1%”, are getting richer by actually grabbing these £ / € / $ trillions.
This blog-post – specifically updated and offered as a starting point of investigation to seek legal remedies and Debt-relief for the long-suffering Greek people [9] –  explains the REAL reason behind the global phenomenon of Public Debts, Crisis and Austerity.
Loaned Money is just IOU, Debt is a phantom, Austerity is planned poverty
At the very core of the global Crisis and Debt-trap, we find a series of fictitious transactions – Government- bonds and Bank-bailouts – that result in the many £ / € / $ trillions of odious (illegitimate) Public Debts – also called Sovereign or National Debts – as well as in the increasing Tax-burden and intensifying Austerity and Cuts for the 99%.
The two sides of the sequence of fictitious (phony) transactions between Banks – via the agency of IMF and WB – and Governments that generate the ever-increasing Odious Public Debts, are in fact two empty but giant IOUs exchanged by Banks and Governments [1,2]:

  • 1) The Bank ‘buys’ Bonds from the Government – lends money to the Government – from the NEW money that the Bank creates out of thin air for the transaction; that is, the Bank ‘pays/lends’ funds by merely issuing an empty IOU to the Government; which means, the Bank promises to pay X amount + y interests to the Government.
  • 2) The Government ‘sells’ Bonds to the Bank – borrows money from the Bank – that is, the Government issues an IOU to the Bank in exchange for the Bank’s IOU; which means, the Government promises to pay X amount + z interests to the Bank, in exchange for the Bank’s promise to pay X + y to the Government.
The first point to emphasize: the exact same empty transaction – as described above – is used for both purposes:
– for Banks supposedly helping out Governments
– for Governments supposedly helping out Banks.
  • This fact is proof that NO real tangible help is given and/or received by either of the two parties, and that these transactions are phony.
No risks, No losses, No reason for “bail-outs”, No reason for “Euro-crisis”

The second main point of the same relevance: how come that Banks need to be “bailed out” by Taxpayer money if the very same Banks are the very source of creating – out of thin air – ca. 97% of all money circulating in the economy? [1, 2] In current monetary system, private Banks create NEW money (in the form of mere IOUs/promises) every time they make loans, which implies, inter alia, that these transactions between Banks and Governments are responsible for issuing a large percentage of the money circulating in the economy.
  • What follows from above proven and given fact is the shocking truth, that Banks can NEVER go bankrupt, since they never posses money per se to begin with. When Banks create money, it is merely in the form of computer digits entered on their servers. When Crisis sets in, or the illusion thereof appears, it is merely due to the very act of fear-mongering, panic-generating and to the crowds’ consequent intensified rush into the Banks. And apparently this trick is used by Banks and Governments as the most effective means to blackmail all countries – a present case in point is Greece – thus force them to surrender to described phony Debt-creating transactions and to the consequent Austerity-dictates by the financial oligarchy.
  • Another relevant angle of private banking: whenever Banks “lend” money, they do NOT take any risks, since they do NOT draw funds from any pre-existing money-base. Again: Banks newly create money upon lending by simply entering the respective monetary units on the borrower’s bank account on a bank-server. Since no risks are involved in these transactions, no real creditors/stakeholders are behind them, who suffer NO LOSSES whatsoever in case of the borrower defaulting on the loan.
    The way referenced Guardian article [2] puts it: “Just consider what might happen if mortgage holders realised the money the bank lent them is not, really, the life savings of some thrifty pensioner, but something the bank just whisked into existence through its possession of a magic wand which we, the public, handed over to it.”
  • By above consideration, another extra dimension of the ongoing hoax called “modern banking system” is to be seen via the fact that the same Banks that are allowed to create new money out of thin air upon extending loans to their clients, when are supposed to pay out deposits to their clients, they “run out of money” and “must” be bailed out by the very bank-account money of the Banks’ clients – which does NOT even exist as real cash – and by the Tax-money of the country’s citizens.
No reason for Austerity, and even less reason for more Debt
Guardian: “The Bank of England’s dose of honesty throws the theoretical basis for austerity out the window” [1, 2]

Another equally shocking implication of the fact that NO real money is involved in the act of giving loans: The “borrowed” funds that enter the economy as Government-loans are newly created upon the transactions exchanging two fictitious IOUs [1, 2] yet, the Government Deficit arising from the Debts these transactions generate is referred to as the very “reason” for the subsequent Austerity and Government spending Cuts.
The neoliberal Austerity-policy is imposed on all affected countries as the “necessary” measures to compensate for the “monetary sacrifice” to be made in order to enable Governments and countries to properly function. These fictitious Government-loans are to deceive the citizens of affected countries that the “inevitable consequences” of these transactions that our societies must suffer are increasing Taxation for the 99%, Cuts of essential public services, severe Austerity-measures, Privatisations, loss of jobs, decreasing salaries and lower Government Spending.
In other words, these transactions are illegitimate, because they are empty / fictitious / no-value / phantom-transactions; they do NOT represent any pre-existing priorly earned funds; yet the astronomical amounts of Odious Public Debts created via such transactions are cited by Governments as the ‘reason’ to keep their countries entrapped in the unresolvable vicious cycle of increasing Public Debt, Deficit, intensifying Austerity, Poverty and Crisis [12]. Even if the cause of the Government Deficit and its alleged consequences were legitimate (they aren’t) the very policies via which the collaborating Governments attempt to “handle” the deficit-problem, further signify the lack of legitimacy of these Governments.
For all experts in Finance and Economics – and even for those with a minimal sense of logic – it is evident that:
  • Austerity only contracts any Economy, thus worsens any Crisis – triggers recession even in a healthy economy, as it is demonstrated on the Crisis side of flowcharts [12]
    Constantly increasing the Debt/Deficit will obviously yield the exact opposite effect of what is “expected”; it will obviously increase the Deficit, obviously increase the Debt and will keep the Crisis in a downward spiral – even more so when an economy is further burdened with Austerity. A genuinely democratic, legitimate and responsible Government would implement policies as shown on the Recovery side of flowcharts [12]
Why Banks and Governments all over the world inflict this scheme upon the 99% of us: the hidden reasons

All Governments that keep accumulating the Odious Public Debt/Deficit and keep imposing the “consequent” Austerity measures – under the disguise of “attempting to treat the Crisis” – are either fatally ignorant (lacking even basic common sense) or are deceiving their voters and deliberately keep them in planned poverty via the Crisis-Debt-Austerity vicious cycle. The net result of the Odious Public Debts and the ‘subsequently’ enforced Austerity and Privatisations is the accelerating process of transferring all lands, resources, values, strategic organisations such as the NHS, ie., all wealth, power and control, into the private ownership of the global elites: banks, corporations and richest individuals. (With the notable exception of Iceland [5, 6, 7, 8] who rejected the conditions of the IMF, suffered the first and WORST hit by the sinister revenge of the financial oligarchy, yet was first to recover and start economic growth, even outside the EU.)
As far as the principles of macroeconomics are concerned, recognition of the fact that Austerity only worsens economic recession and pushes an economy into a downward spiral, requires no more than basic knowledge of economics, and it is safe to assume that the respective decision-makers who still keep imposing these measures possess an advanced knowledge in economics and related field(s), hence we should indeed look for a more plausible explanation behind the idea of their attempting to “fix” the economy in a way – via Austerity – that would actually kill even a healthy economy, than the assumption of mere “honest mistake” on their behalf.
The actual answer is hidden somewhere else than in the elites’ mere ignorance or mistakes. The elites deliberately keep the 99% in Crisis because they gain £ / € / $ trillions on the ‘Crisis business‘ [10, 11]. They keep us locked into this scheme because this way the global elites can grab real tangible values – lands, buildings, resources, of all countries and continents – in exchange for empty computer digits. The most profitable business that one ever had or can ever imagine. This is the ultimate explanation behind the historically unprecedented inequality between the globally richest class and the rest of mankind.
This is why Banks were so willing to extend subprime loans to those countries and individuals who will certainly default on the loan [11]. This is why central banks, even though aware of the intensifying process of subprime loans, chose to allow it to continue; they merely pretend it that they made “mistakes” [11] They impose a system of Debt and Austerity on us in order to maintain the vicious cycle of Crisis so that they could continue grabbing these assets [10, 11].
An issue of constitutional democracy, democratic rule of law and national sovereignty
When loans are given to countries via their collaborating Governments, the demonstrated phony financial transactions entered by these Governments are the very cause of the Odious Public Debts accumulated in many £ / € / $ trillions on behalf of the 99%.
  • The most relevant implication of the Public Debts is this consideration: Rather than exchanging empty IOUs thus accepting the burden of Debt on behalf of their citizens upon the act of financing a country, responsible and real democratic Governments could – and should – create the money-supply in the very amount that is necessary to be invested into the economy and they should make these necessary direct investments – via Public Banking and without the burden of Public Debt – into constructive projects, creating jobs, fostering green energy and human-centered economies, infrastructure, affordable healthcare, children-care, education, housing, etc.
One just can’t avoid arriving at the blatant conclusion: the acts of those Governments who choose not to finance their own citizens, and rather collaborate with the global financial oligarchy, come down to deliberate destruction of countries and sheer robbery of all countries’ values. Financial world-war led by the richest 1% against the 99% across all countries.
Even though this financial world-war appears to be a class-war, as one waged by the rich against the poor, it is not. It is neither a class-war nor an aspect of “left” or “right” party-politics. It is not even a question of finance and economics, since finance and economics in this regard are mere means to wage the war.
It is not a question of ethics and morality either. It is a constitutional, hence legal issue.  All Governments who surrender their sovereign right to devise and control their respective country’s economic and monetary system and as elected bodies surrender their decision-making powers in fiscal and monetary policies to unelected bodies such as Banks, give up constitutional democracy in their country.Who surrender their country to the financial crime described herein, give up democratic rule of law. In addition, those Governments who surrender their own electorate-given rights to unelected international lobbies, give up their country’s sovereignty and surrender their country as a whole to foreign interests.
With special regard to the currently intensifying Greek crisis, a final note. From the facts and implications analysed in this post it is evident: it is not Greece – or any of the other affected countries who supposedly “owe” € billions, or even trillions, to Troika (EU/IMF /ECB) – it is the way around. The ongoing financial CRIME of unprecedented scope and magnitude described in this post, should be investigated, ended and prevented with utmost urgency, which however requires reinstating the democratic rule of law in all affected countries. The citizens of Greece – and of all countries subjected to this financial crime – should be compensated for the financial and other damages they suffered and/or still suffer.
image: http://globalpoliticalanalysis.files.wordpress.com/2014/04/banks-and-govs-debt-fraud.jpg?w=750
banks and govs debt fraud Related posts:

The story of how we are being conned by Banks and Governments
References:

[1] Bank of England: “Money creation in the modern economy”
http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/Documents/quarterlybulletin/2014/qb14q102.pdf
How money is created and destroyed in the Eurozone monetary system:
http://sensiblemoney.ie/data/documents/How-Money-Is-Created-And-Destroyed.pdf
[2] Guardian: “The truth is out: money is just an IOU, and the banks are rolling in it”
http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2014/mar/18/truth-money-iou-bank-of-england-austerity
[3] GlobalResearch: “The Moral Hazard of Modern Banking: How Banks Create and Destroy Money”
http://www.globalresearch.ca/the-moral-hazard-of-modern-banking-how-banks-create-and-destroy-money/25230
[4] Century of Enslavement: The History of The Federal Reserve
http://www.corbettreport.com/federalreserve/
[5] How to break free from the Debt-trap – explained by distinguished economics professor “Peoples of countries indebted without their consent should refuse to repay Odious Debts” – like Iceland did: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TjyuPRIoCeE
[6] 2008–11 Icelandic financial crisis
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2008-11_Icelandic_financial_crisis
[7] Max Keiser: Icelandic people on economic terrorist bankers
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d0UHqQCqHTM 
[8] Top Economists: “Iceland Did It Right … And Everyone Else Is Doing It Wrong”
http://www.washingtonsblog.com/2012/08/top-economists-iceland-did-it-right-everyone-else-is-doing-it-wrong.html
[9] Guardian: “Austerity in Greece caused more than 500 male suicides, say researchers”
http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/apr/21/austerity-greece-male-suicides-spending-cuts
[10] ‘In a crisis assets return to their rightful owners’ (i.e. him) ~ Andrew Mellon (US banker, Secretary of the Treasury 1921-32)
[11] Global Financial Meltdown – One Of The Best Financial Crisis Documentary Film
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VQzEWeGJLP0

[12]
image: http://globalpoliticalanalysis.files.wordpress.com/2014/06/crisis-vs-recovery.jpg?w=895&h=450
Crisis vs Recovery

U.S. Suffers Long-Term Low Trend Growth: Achuthan


Lakshman Achuthan, co-founder at ECRI, discusses the low growth trend in the United States economy. He speaks on “Bloomberg Surveillance.” (Source: Bloomberg)

Greek debt relief was not on table during bailout negotiations, says EU official

Official also believes Sunday’s referendum is escalation of a Greek negotiating strategy that has gone wrong
The flags of Greece and the EU fly in Athens
The EU official believes the debate over debt relief is irrelevant because creditors needed assurances that Greece did not want to provide. Photograph: Louisa Gouliamaki/AFP/Getty Images
Debt relief was not on the table during negotiations to extend Greece’s existing bailout programme and agree a package of reforms needed to unlock its remaining funds, according to a senior EU official.
The official told the Guardian that debt relief was “politically highly toxic for many eurozone member states”.
Any form of debt restructuring would only be possible as part of a new programme – which would be Greece’s third – and only after the country provided assurances that it would really implement reformsand demonstrate that no further relief would be needed in future.
However, even then, writing off some of the debt would be a “no-go”, the official said.
A more realistic option would be applying “very long maturities with 0 [%]-interest” on the existing debt.
The revelation is at odds with the position of the International Monetary Fund, which said earlier this week that Greece needed an extra €60bn of funds and debt relief to provide its economy with “breathing space” to stabilise.
According to the IMF’s analysis, Athens’ debts are unsustainable and require large-scale relief: a 20-year grace period, or a haircut that yields a reduction in debt of more than 30% of GDP.
However, the EU official believes that the debate over debt relief is irrelevant because creditors needed assurances that Greece did not want to provide.
When asked why he thought Greece had called a referendum on whether to accept the creditors’ proposals, the official says that he believes that the vote is an escalation of a negotiating strategy gone wrong.
First, the prime minister, Alexis Tsipras, would have been unable to get a credible agreement through parliament.
Second, the finance minister, Yanis Varoufakis, had been calculating with 100% confidence that the EU would not allow an exit from the euro because of political and geopolitical considerations.
Because of these two factors the Greek government pretended to negotiate while waiting for a political solution. But a deal was close even under these “fake negotiations”, so they chose to escalate the situation.
Things happened too fast for game theorist [Varoufakis] to adapt, and not only is he destroying his economy, but has made a huge tactical mistake.
The official is adamant that if the first bailout programme had been fully implemented, Greece would have been recovering in three to four years like Ireland or Portugal.
Instead there were no structural reforms. This lead to “ad hoc savings” to meet fiscal targets, which are bad for growth.