Tuesday, September 24, 2013

BREAKING! $3.39 Trillion!! Fed Owns More Treasuries and MBSs Than All Debt Amassed From Washington Through Clinton

The same day that the Federal Reserve’s Federal Open Market Committee announced last week that the Fed would continue to buy $40 billion in mortgage-backed securities (MBSs) and $45 billion in U.S. Treasury securities per month, the Fed also released its latest weekly accounting sheet indicating that it had already accumulated more Treasuries and MBSs than the total value of the publicly held U.S. government debt amassed by all U.S. presidents from George Washington though Bill Clinton.
$3.39T Quantitative Explosion: Fed Owns More Treasuries and MBSs Than Publicly Held Debt Amassed From Washington Through Clinton
http://cnsnews.com/news/article/terence-p-jeffrey/339t-quantitative-explosion-fed-owns-more-treasuries-and-mbss

All Federal Reserve Banks – Total Assets, Eliminations from Consolidation (WALCL)
  • 2013-09-18: 3,722,192 Millions of Dollars   Hide Last 5 Observations
2013-09-11: 3,662,035
2013-09-04: 3,654,182
2013-08-28: 3,644,456
2013-08-21: 3,645,668
Weekly, As of Wednesday, Not Seasonally Adjusted, Updated: 2013-09-19 3:52 PM CDT

Insiders and Hedge Funds Dumping Monsanto Stock




Company insiders and institutional investors alike have been dumping shares of the Monsanto Company in recent months.
While consumers have concerns with Monsanto’s business due to its genetically modified organism (GMO) products, investors are worried about its business practices and stock performance.
“People increasingly don’t like Monsanto, and that’s a direct result of all the growing realizations about the dangers of GMOs, [and] Monsanto’s predatory business practices,” said Mike Adams, editor of Natural News.
Quarterly Earnings
For its 2013 fiscal third quarter the St. Louis-based Monsanto reported better than expected earnings due to Latin American corn business and seeds business in the United States.
Net sales were at $4.3 billion, up by 1 percent from the 2012 third quarter. Net income for the quarter decreased by 3 percent and operating expenses increased because of a 5 percent increase in research and development Costs.
On the positive side, Monsanto reports that the demand for the company’s products has increased, but it is lacking acreage to meet that demand.
Insiders Dumping Shares
The company’s stock was somehow volatile during the year, trading both above and below $100 per share in 2013. However, over the last three months it has gained 2.5 percent, trailing the benchmark S&P 500 Index which had increased 7.7 percent during the same period.
A significant number of Monsanto shares, including insider shares, were traded, with 198,550 shares being traded over the last three months and 1.3 million during the past year. However, only 22,023 shares were bought while 176,527 were sold during the past three months. Over the past year, 1.1 million shares were sold, while only 207,305 shares were bought.
Nasdaq disclosed that 19 officers sold the company’s shares during the past three months and 59 company insiders disposed of 128 shares over the past year.
All insider trading were from execution of options. The officers held shares at a fixed price and sold the shares at the market price, making substantial profits.
In the stock market, the holder of an option may sell a certain amount of securities at a given price and at a given time. The stock transaction happens on completion and not when the option is distributed.
“Over the last half-year time period, Monsanto Company has seen zero unique insiders purchasing, and 10 insider sales,” according to Insider Monkey, a website which tracks insider activity.
One of the major Monsanto insider sellers was Hugh Grant, Chairman and CEO. He sold a total of 487,420 shares between January 2012 and July 2013, profiting greatly by exercising his options.
Investors Unload Monsanto Stock
Besides officers of Monsanto, some funds have distanced themselves from the company ahead of the third quarter investor reporting, given the recent negative coverage of GMO foods and their health risks.
The number of hedge funds holding long positions decreased 6 percent during the second quarter, with 59 funds retaining their investments in Monsanto, according to Insider Monkey.
According to Natural News, Vinik Asset Management and Point State Capital reduced their positions in Monsanto by a combined total of about $156 million.
A few analysts recommend that investors, especially hedge funds, reduce their exposure to Monsanto, as well as to funds that hold a significant number of stocks in the company, such as Lone Pine Capital and Blue Ridge Capital.

Most Americans against defunding Obamacare: Survey

A solid majority of Americans oppose defunding the new health care law if it means shutting down the government and defaulting on debt.
The CNBC All-America Economic Survey of 800 people across the country conducted by Hart-McInturff, finds that, in general, Americans oppose defunding Obamacare by a plurality of 44 percent to 38 percent.
Opposition to defunding increases sharply when the issue of shutting down the government and defaulting is included. In that case, Americans oppose defunding 59 percent to 19 percent, with 18 percent of respondents unsure. The final 4 percent is a group of people who want to defund Obamacare, but become unsure when asked if they still hold that view if it means shutting down the government.
The Republican-party-led House voted 230-189 on Friday to adopt a short-term government spending bill that would eliminate all funding for the new health care law. The measure could lead to a government shutdown in less than two weeks. The poll, which has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.4 percent, was conducted Monday through Thursday of last week. Full results will be released this Thursday.
(Read more: Obamacare's biggest test: How many enroll? )
In general, men are roughly split on the issue, with 43 percent supporting defunding, 42 percent opposing and 15 percent unsure. But when the issue of a government shutdown and default is included their support declines: 56 percent oppose defunding and only 14 percent solidly favor the measure.
Women are more firmly opposed to defunding the new health care law under any circumstances, with 47 percent opposed, 33 percent in favor and 20 percent unsure.
A 51 percent majority of Republicans generally support defunding with 36 percent opposed and 13 percent unsure. However, when including the issue of a government shutdown and default, the picture changes: 48 percent of Republicans oppose defunding Obamacare, while 36 percent support it.
However, a 54 percent majority of Republicans who also identify themselves as Tea Party supporters want the new health care law defunded even if it means a government shutdown -- the only demographic measured in the poll with such a majority.
Republicans who do not identify themselves as Tea Party supporters hold views closer to those of Democrats than to Republicans that do identify themselves as Tea Party supporters: They oppose defunding Obamacare 44 percent to 36 percent with 20 percent unsure.

Independents are more troubled by the prospect of defunding Obamacare and shutting down the government than the broader population. In general, they oppose defunding by a slight plurality of 44 percent to 40 percent. However, when the issue of shutting down the government is included, opposition to the measure swells to 65 percent, while support drops to just 14 percent.

The Insider’s Economic Dictionary: F Is for FIRE Sector

By Michael Hudson
This piece first appeared at the website of University of Missouri, Kansas City economics professor Michael Hudson. Read the rest of the Insider’s Economic Dictionary here.
Factoid: A hypothesis, rumor or story so consonant with peoples’ preconceptions that it is accepted as a fact or working assumption, even though it often is made up a priori. Among the most notorious examples are the ideas of diminishing returns, equilibrium, that privatized ownership is inherently more efficient than public management, and that trickle-down economics works. (See Junk Science.)
Factor of production: Labor and capital are the two basic factors of production, creating value. Many classical economists also treated land as a factor of production, but it is rather a property right. It is needed for production, like air, but as a legal right it becomes an institutional opportunity to charge rent, via a legal claim permitting landlords to levy a toll for access to a given site. In this respect air, water, technology, patents and similar inputs are not strictly speaking factors of production, which involve costs that ultimately are reducible to labor inputs. Interest-bearing debt claims hardly can be treated as a payment to a “factor of production,” as if they were an inherent part of the production process.
Fallacy, economic: Economic fallacies are often generated by language coinage in the political arena and the popular press to be carried forward into subsequent eras. For example, S. Dana Horton pointed out in his Silver and Gold (1895) that “The fallacies that lurk in words are the quicksands of theory; and as the conduct of nations is built on theory, the correction of word-fallacies is the never-ending labor of Science. … the party in this country, one of whose great aims was, at one time, the perpetuation of slavery, owed much of its popular vote to the name Democracy.” Like so many public relations and lobbying efforts in the present era, seemingly bland economic and business characterizations can stultify generations of economic thought.
Falling rate of profit: In Marxist economics, profits were expected to decline as production became more capital intensive, leading depreciation (a return of the capital invested, in contrast to a return on capital) to rise as a proportion of overall cash flow. Strictly speaking, this did not mean that profit rates as such would fall, merely that the role of capital recovery would rise.? Under finance capitalism, profits fall because of the rising debt-intensity of production as more corporate cash flow (see ebitda) is paid out as interest, leaving less available as profit.
Federal Reserve System: The U.S. central bank, established in 1914 (seven years after the 1907 financial panic) to decentralize monetary authority from the U.S. Treasury to the commercial banking system and regional business, in conjunction with providing more flexible credit via the banking system. In 1951 the Fed reached an accord with the Treasury regarding the conflict of interest in which the government sought to borrow at the lowest possible interest rate, while banks wanted high rates, ostensibly to fight inflation. But as the Gibson Paradox illustrates, trying to fight inflation by raising interest rates often tend to aggravate it. Fed policy along these lines led to stagflation by the end of the 1970s under Fed Chairman Paul Volcker, while the reversal of this policy, flooding the economy with low-interest credit under Alan Greenspan, fueled asset-price inflation after 1992, much as had been the case in the 1920s under Fed Chairman Benjamin Strong.
Fictitious costs: Costs over and above labor and capital that are factored into pricing, especially of regulated monopolies such as railroads in 19th-century America. The most notorious costs are interest charges (which are treated as a cost of doing business rather than as a business decision to leverage one’s own investment), stock options and bonds issued to financial and political insiders, as well as the management and underwriting fees charged by money managers and investment bankers. Neoliberal reforms greatly expand opportunities for such pseudo-costs to proliferate.
Fictitious costs are book-keeping costs not economically necessary for production to take place. As such, they are costs accruing to fictitious capital, most notoriously in the form of “watered stocks” that railroad barons and other captains of industry or emperors of finance issued to themselves around the turn of the 20th century. Such costs are institutional in character, associated with the transition from industrial capitalism to finance capitalism.
Fiduciary responsibility: Money managers look at their clients in much the same way a lawyer does: “How much can I make off this person without formally breaking the law?” The answer usually depends on how much the client has, and how high a commission the money manager can make. The norm among many insurance-company managers and brokerage houses is to unload bad securities onto the client (as companies such as H&R Block and others did with Enron stock), or to “churn their accounts” to generate trading fees. Even quicker money has been made recently by negotiating a complex derivative straddle almost guaranteed to wipe out the hapless risk-taker. The objective of money managers thus is to minimize legal restraints on fiduciary irresponsibility, euphemized as “responsibility.” The post-Enron prosecutions of New York Attorney General Eliot Spitzer provide a compendium of stratagems that money managers, banks, insurance companies and stock brokers have been able to get away with by “stretching the envelope” of fiduciary responsibility.
More far-sighted money managers of long-term funds have no way of knowing how much money their clients may accumulate over their working life, but are satisfied simply to take a commission on whatever is invested – say, 2%. This is as much as most stocks yield in dividends these days. The money manager’s objective in agreeing to this fee is thus to obtain all the earnings on the current return their clients receive.
The biggest bonanza of all would be to gain responsibility for managing the Social Security system’s compulsory saving. Its privatization would steer funds into the stock market, producing financial gains to savers and higher commissions for money managers. A rise in price/earnings ratios would increase proportion of current income absorbed in management commissions. If the manager guesses wrong and stock prices decline, the manager’s commission will be paid in any cases. Only the losses belong fully to their clients. (See Bubble, Labor Capitalism.)
Finance Capitalism: A term coined by Bruno Hilferding to signify the evolution of industrial capitalism into a system dominated by large financial institutions rather than industrial firms.
FIRE sector: An acronym for Finance, Insurance and Real Estate, combined in the national income accounts to reflect the symbiosis between these sectors. See Rentier.
Fiscal surplus: A deficit for the economy at large, paid to the government as taxes and user-fees. The monetarist idea that a fiscal surplus can be “healthy” overlooks the deflationary effect that such surpluses have on economies, whose major source of monetary growth typically consists of the economy’s surplus with the government, that is, a Keynesian-type fiscal deficit. (See Chartalism, Debt Deflation, Sinking Fund, State Theory of Money and Treasury.)
Forced saving: In Communist economies, the deduction of wage credits to build up accounts to prepay for consumer goods that will be delivered at a future time. In the United States, wage withholding to prepay for public Social Security and medical insurance, as well as for pensions. (See Labor Capitalism, Pension-fund Capitalism, Savings and Tax Shift.)
Fragility: Financial markets become fragile as the volume of debt service expands at compound interest to a point where it exceeds the ability to pay. The term was coined by Hyman Minsky, who explained that financial markets tended to turn into Ponzi schemes, the stage of the credit cycle in which debtors borrowed from the creditors the interest payments falling due. The effect was to add the interest that fell due onto the debt balance. This is how Latin American countries financed their foreign debt until the system imploded in 1982 with Mexico’s insolvency. Debt leveraging collapses at the point where income and new loans are unable to cover the interest charges, resulting in a break in the chain of payments. (See Debt Deflation.)
Free lunch: Most business is now all about seeking a free lunch, that is, payment for goods or services that have no counterpart in actual costs of producing them. (See Economic Rent and Parasitism.) In order to deter public regulation against this practice, its recipients adopt the cloak of invisibility provided by Milton Friedman’s claim that there is no such thing as a free lunch. His doctrine promotes free markets (q.v.), which open the way for rent-seekers to obtain a free lunch at society’s expense. (See Chicago School.)
Free markets: Markets dominated by the financial and propertied classes whose objective is to secure all discretionary income for themselves, ultimately by asset stripping, leaving the economy without freedom of choice except to pay the rentier class. Hence, a market in which choice is minimized, by stripping away all government protection against monopoly and predatory behavior. (See Free Lunch, Kleptocrats, Military Junta and Race to the Bottom.)
Fundamentalist: If one is going to invent an ideology, the line of least resistance is to claim that one is going back to its origins to restore its “fundamentals.” Christian, fundamentalists supporting the rich against the poor have expurgated the Bible’s economic message, replacing Biblical sanctions against usury and economic selfishness with a diversionary focus on sexual intolerance. (See Crusade.)
chelsea.parker.photo (CC BY-ND 2.0)
Copyright: TruthDig

The Truthseeker: World War 3, Greater Israel & Real Axis of Evil (E24)

Judge Napolitano: Fed Stimulus Will Create Another Artificial Government Orchestrated Bubble


Should Poor People Eat? Let’s Hear From Both Sides!

OK, so maybe this headline is slightly unfair, but it seemed like a good way to capture the essence of a USA Today story (9/18/13) about the fight over food stamps.
As you may already know, House Republicans are looking to cut some $40 billion from the SNAP program, otherwise known as food stamps, over the next 10 years.
It’s not unusual for politicians to disagree; one would hope that journalism might intervene on the side of the facts. But here’s how USA Today‘s Paul Singer presented the issue:
The cost of the federal food stamp program has exploded over the past decade, according to the Department of Agriculture. In 2001, the program served 17 million people at a cost of just over $15 billion. By 2012, there were 46 million people enrolled at a cost of a little under $75 billion.
Democrats say the program has grown because the economy tanked; Republicans argue much of the expansion is attributed to states giving benefits to people who do not qualify.
Well OK then–either there was a massive economic collapse, or people are cheating the government. Who’s to say which side is right?
The paper gets quotes from lawmakers–Republican Eric Cantor’s office explains they aim to “restore the integrity of this safety-net program,” while Massachusetts Democrat Jim McGovern says the idea that people are cheating in order to get food stamps instead of working is “a lie.”
Again, who’s right? That would seem to be a rather important matter. Luckily there’s plenty of evidence available. Alan Pyke of ThinkProgress recently noted (9/6/13) that the latest report from the Department of Agriculture’s inspector general found no problems with “high-dollar overpayments” in the SNAP program. And according to the Center on Budget & Policy Priorities (3/28/13), SNAP “has one of the most rigorous payment error measurement systems of any public benefit program,” with a very small amount of funds going to overpayment (about 2 percent of the total cost of the program). And the group’s research also shows that increased enrollment in SNAP is historically correlated with economic downturns. This is what caused the size of the program to spike in 2008 and 2009; the rate of growth has slowed considerably since then.
So there does not seem to be much of a problem with “waste”–which is the core argument that one side of this debate is making (unless their real aim is to simply reduce the amount of money poorer people get to buy food). But USA Today doesn’t seem interested in arriving at this conclusion, preferring to take the line they use in the subhead–that these cuts “could cut waste or hurt poor, depending on viewpoint.”
That’s balance, of course–and it’s also very misleading.
Copyright: Truth Out