Tuesday, June 18, 2013

U.S. Could Soon Become A Large-Scale Spain Or Greece, Teetering On The Edge of Financial Ruin. Billionaire Tells Americans To Get Prepare!

U.S. Is Going To Be ‘A Lot Worse’ Than Greece

Dark days are ahead for U.S. investors.
That’s according to a well-respected author and investor, making a recent appearance on Yahoo Finance’s “Breakout.”
Peter Schiff, the CEO of Euro Pacific Capital, says that the during President Obama’s second term, the country will face both a currency crisis and a sovereign debt crisis. “It’s going to be the same thing that is happening in Europe or Greece, but it’s going to be a lot worse.”
Schiff also said the country faces higher unemployment, higher food and energy prices, and “sharply higher interest rates.”
This isn’t the first time that Schiff has painted a grim outlook for the country. A few months ago, Schiff generated headlines by saying that the economic, financial, and employment collapse the country has endured in the past few years was only the beginning. He says what we experienced in 2008 “wasn’t the real crash. The real crash is coming.”

Billionaire Tells Americans to Prepare For ‘Financial Ruin’

The United States could soon become a large-scale Spain or Greece, teetering on the edge of financial ruin.
That’s according to Donald Trump, who painted a very ugly picture of where this country is headed. Trump made the comments during a recent appearance on Fox News’ “On the Record with Greta Van Susteren.”
According to Trump, the United States is no longer a rich country. “When you’re not rich, you have to go out and borrow money. We’re borrowing from the Chinese and others. We’re up to $16 trillion in debt.”

He goes on to point out that the downgrade of U.S. debt is inevitable.
“We are going up to $16 trillion [in debt] very soon, and it’s going to be a lot higher than that before he gets finished. When you have [debt] in the $21-$22 trillion, you are talking about a downgrade no matter how you cut it.”



Bank Earnings Seen Buffeted by Rates Rising Without More Growth 
ProPublica: Fannie, Freddie Are Being Set Up to Fail – Again 
Efforts in Washington to reform mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have been a glaring failure to date, and in fact could boomerang to make the next housing crisis worse, according to the investigative journalism group ProPublica.
US Regulator: Deutsche Bank ‘Horribly Undercapitalized’ 
A top U.S. banking regulator called Deutsche Bank’s capital levels horrible and said it is the worst on a list of global banks based on one measurement of leverage ratios.
55 Facts About The Debt And U.S. Government Finances That Every American Voter Should Know

If We Can’t Stop Corporations from Hiding in Cayman Islands to Avoid Taxes, We All Need to Become Pirates

Artist Paolo Cirio’s introductory video to Loophole4All.com teaches everyday people how to pursue tax loopholes by becoming a pirate and hijacking an offshore company.
With leaders from eight of the world’s wealthiest countries discussing economic policies that will affect citizens worldwide, the G8, always a symbol of undemocratic governance, is particularly contradictory this year. British Prime Minister David Cameron, host of the summit in Northern Ireland, is calling for a crackdown on widespread global tax evasion. But he might as well be called prime minister of major tax havens for his role overseeing London and the Crown Dependencies.
As usual, G8 members will advance measures aimed at maintaining, rather than resolving, these contradictions. Their proposals will not contain any changes that might distress corporate interests.
A mere 100 miles southeast of the summit, Dublin serves as a tax haven and a center of massive tax evasion for many of the wealthiest corporations. American companies like Cisco and Apple set up subsidiaries in Dublin to evade U.S. taxes, since corporate tax rates are roughly three times lower in Ireland than in the United States. Apple’s Irish affiliate actually paid no taxes on $30 billion in profit over the last four years. Corporate CEOs defend such tax evasions by presenting themselves as job creators acting for the benefit of the economy as a whole, but they leave out the data showing the decline of the middle class and consequent increases in poverty and homelessness. Ireland is not such a great place for normal people, with its severe austerity and outrageously high unemployment.
If corporations don’t pay taxes, then it follows that when people buy iPhones, search on Google or order items on Amazon, everyone loses hospitals, schools, road maintenance and eventually pensions. Meanwhile, the lucky employees of untaxed companies get higher wages that directly produce unaffordable living costs for people employed by local and public businesses. Only those who work for the regime of major firms can survive.
People who raise their voices against the injustice of this situation by taking to the streets outside G8 summits have met escalating violence from security forces. In my twenties, I joined several anti-G8 protests across Europe, facing riot police that regularly employed tear gas, water cannons and clubs against peaceful demonstrators. At the Genoa summit in 2001, I dodged the massacre at the Diaz school out of pure luck. I have not always had the same fortune, and violent repression and mass arrests have become ordinary in the decade since.
Although street protests are crucial in manifesting dissent, we need to supplement public demonstrations with new, creative strategies of subversion. For instance, with the project Loophole4All.com, I managed to unsettle corrupt Cayman Islands authorities and international accounting firms by creating a caricature of the Certificate of Incorporation used by shell companies set up in the Caymans. At the same time, I drew attention to thousands of fraudulent companies, engaging the public in an unusual form of civil disobedience that threatens the offshore financial system.
Political innovation should be considered an art form that challenges brutal repression and creates solutions for global governance. I believe that artists can create legislative and financial models for the complex needs of the 21st century, incorporating humor, beauty and interactivity into new forms of social organization. Just as creativity and concrete social goals come together in architecture, contemporary artists should intervene in proposing policies that work for our times, while guiding us in interpreting and unveiling the invisible truths of our world.
The absurdity of the unsolved legality of offshore business helps to expose to everyone the disorder of our times and the need for radical change. The vast exploitation of discrepancies among legal jurisdictions undermines the notions of law and national borders that are central to contemporary civilization. Globalization has outstripped the power of governments, businesses and citizens; each is left powerless against the other.
This article originally appeared on: AlterNet

Rotting, Decaying And Bankrupt – If You Want To See The Future Of America Just Look At Detroit

Michael Snyder
Economic Collapse
June 17, 2013
Eventually the money runs out.  Much of America was shocked when the city of Detroit defaulted on a$39.7 million debt payment and announced that it was suspending payments on $2.5 billion of unsecured debt, but those who visitmy site on a regular basis were probably not too surprised.  Anyone with half a brain and a calculator could see this coming from a mile away.  But people kept foolishly lending money to the city of Detroit, and now many of them are going to get hit really hard.  Detroit Emergency Manager Kevyn Orr has submitted a proposal that would pay unsecured creditors about 10 cents on the dollar.  Similar haircuts would be made to underfunded pension and health benefits for retirees.  Orr is hoping that the creditors and the unions that he will be negotiating with will accept this package, but he concedes that there is still a “50-50 chance” that the city of Detroit will be forced to formally file for bankruptcy.  But what Detroit is facing is not really that unique.  In fact, Detroit is a perfect example of what the future of America is going to look like.  We live in a nation that is rotting, decaying, drowning in debt and racing toward insolvency.  Already there are dozens of other cities across the nation that are poverty-ridden, crime-infested hellholes just like Detroit is, and hundreds of other communities are rapidly heading in that direction.  So don’t look down on Detroit.  They just got there before the rest of us.
The following are some facts about Detroit that are absolutely mind-blowing…
1 – Detroit was once the fourth-largest city in the United States, and in 1960 Detroit had the highest per-capita income in the entire nation.
2 – Over the past 60 years, the population of Detroit has fallen by 63 percent.
3 – At this point, approximately 40 percent of all the streetlights in the city don’t work.
4 – Some ambulances in the city of Detroit have been used for so long that they have more than 250,000 miles on them.
5 – 210 of the 317 public parks in the city of Detroit have beenpermanently closed down.
6 – According to the New York Times, there are now approximately 70,000 abandoned buildings in Detroit.
7 – Approximately one-third of Detroit’s 140 square miles is either vacant or derelict.
8 - Less than half of the residents of Detroit over the age of 16 are working at this point.
9 – If you can believe it, 60 percent of all children in the city of Detroit are living in poverty.
10 – According to one very shocking report, 47 percent of the residents of Detroit are functionally illiterate.
11 – Today, police solve less than 10 percent of the crimes that are committed in Detroit.
12 – Ten years ago, there were approximately 5,000 police officers in the city of Detroit.  Today, there are only about 2,500 and another 100 are scheduled to be eliminated from the force soon.
13 – Due to budget cutbacks, most police stations in Detroit are now closed to the public for 16 hours a day.
14 – The murder rate in Detroit is 11 times higher than it is in New York City.
15 – Crime has gotten so bad in Detroit that even the police are telling people to “enter Detroit at your own risk“.
16 – Right now, the city of Detroit is facing $20 billion in debt and unfunded liabilities.  That breaks down to more than $25,000 per resident.
As Detroit Emergency Manager Kevyn Orr noted last week, it took a very long time for Detroit to get into this condition…
“What the average Detroiter needs to understand is that where we are right now is a culmination of years and years and years of kicking the can down the road,” said Orr, adding that his proposal should not be seen as a “hostile act” but as a step in the right direction.
Does that sound familiar?
It should.
U.S. politicians have also been kicking the can down the road for “years and years and years”.
But eventually you can’t kick the can down the road anymore.
Sometimes it is helpful to step back and look at what we have done to ourselves over the past several decades.
For example, back in 1980 the U.S. national debt was less than one trillion dollars.  Today, it is rapidly approaching 17 trillion dollars.
And our debt binge has greatly accelerated under Barack Obama.
During Barack Obama’s first term, the federal government accumulated more debt than it did under the first 42 U.S presidents combined.
Isn’t that insane?
In fact, if you started paying off just the new debt that the U.S. has accumulated during the Obama administration at the rate of one dollar per second, it would take more than 184,000 years to pay it off.
The following are a lot more facts about our exploding national debt from one of my previous articles entitled “55 Facts About The Debt And U.S. Government Finances That Every American Voter Should Know“…
#1 While Barack Obama has been president, the U.S. government has spent about 11 dollars for every 7 dollars of revenue that it has actually brought in.
#2 During the fiscal year that just ended, the U.S. government took in2.449 trillion dollars but it spent 3.538 trillion dollars.
#3 During fiscal year 2011, over a trillion dollars of government money was spent on 83 different welfare programs, and those numbers do not even include Social Security or Medicare.
#4 Over the past four years, welfare spending has increased by 32 percent.  In inflation-adjusted dollars, spending on those programs has risen by 378 percent over the past 30 years.  At this point, more than100 million Americans are enrolled in at least one welfare program run by the federal government.  Once again, these figures do not even include Social Security or Medicare.
#5 Over the past year, the number of Americans getting a free cell phone from the federal government has grown by 43 percent.  Now more than 16 million Americans are enjoying what has come to be known as an “Obamaphone”.
#6 When Barack Obama first entered the White House, about 32 million Americans were on food stamps.  Now, 47 million Americans are on food stamps.  And this has happened during what Obama refers to as “an economic recovery”.
#7 The U.S. government recently spent 27 million dollars on pottery classes in Morocco.
#8 The U.S. Department of Agriculture recently spent $300,000 to encourage Americans to eat caviar at a time when more families than ever are having a really hard time just trying to put any food on the table at all.
#9 During 2012, the National Science Foundation spent $516,000 to support the creation of a video game called “Prom Week”, which apparently simulates “all the social interactions of the event.”
#10 The U.S. Department of Agriculture gave the largest snack food maker in the world (PepsiCo Inc.) a total of 1.3 million dollars in corporate welfare that was used to help build “a Greek yogurt factory in New York.”
#11 The National Science Foundation recently gave researchers at Purdue University $350,000.  They used part of that money to help fund a study that discovered that if golfers imagine that a hole is bigger it will help them with their putting.
#12 If you can believe it, $10,000 from the federal government was actually used to purchase talking urinal cakes up in Michigan.
#13 The National Science Foundation recently gave a whopping$697,177 to a New York City-based theater company to produce a musical about climate change.
#14 The National Institutes of Health recently gave $666,905 to a group of researchers that is studying the benefits of watching reruns on television.
#15 The National Science Foundation has given 1.2 million dollars to a team of “scientists” that is spending part of that money on a study that is seeking to determine whether elderly Americans would benefit from playing World of Warcraft or not.
#16 The National Institutes of Health recently gave $548,731 to a team of researchers that concluded that those that drink heavily in their thirties also tend to feel more immature.
#17 The National Science Foundation recently spent $30,000 on a study to determine if “gaydar” actually exists.  This is the conclusion that the researchers reached at the end of the study…
“Gaydar is indeed real and… its accuracy is driven by sensitivity to individual facial features”
#18 Back in 2011, the National Institutes of Health spent $592,527 on a study that sought to figure out once and for all why chimpanzees throw poop.
#19 The U.S. government spends more on the military than China, Russia, Japan, India, and the rest of NATO combined.  In fact, the United States accounts for 41.0% of all military spending on the planet.  China is next with only 8.2%.
#20 In a previous article, I noted that close to 500,000 federal employees now make at least $100,000 a year.
#21 In 2006, only 12 percent of all federal workers made $100,000 or more per year.  Now, approximately 22 percent of all federal workers do.
#22 If you can believe it, there are 77,000 federal workers that make more than the governors of their own states do.
#23 During 2010, the average federal employee in the Washington D.C. area received total compensation worth more than $126,000.
#24 The U.S. Department of Defense had just nine civilians earning $170,000 or more back in 2005.  When Barack Obama became president, the U.S. Department of Defense had 214 civilians earning $170,000 or more.  By June 2010, the U.S. Department of Defense had994 civilians earning $170,000 or more.
#25 During 2010, compensation for federal employees came to a grand total of approximately 447 billion dollars.
#26 If you can believe it, close to 15,000 retired federal employees are currently collecting federal pensions for life worth at least $100,000 annually.  That list includes such names as Newt Gingrich, Bob Dole, Trent Lott, Dick Gephardt and Dick Cheney.
#27 During 2010, the federal government spent $33,387 on the hair care needs of U.S. Senators.
#28 During 2010, U.S. Senators pulled $72,370 out of the “Senate Restaurant Fund”.
#29 During 2010, an average of $4,005,900 of U.S. taxpayer money was spent on “personal” and “office” expenses per Senator.
#30 In 2013, 3.7 million dollars will be spent to support the lavish lifestyles of former presidents such as George W. Bush and Bill Clinton.
#31 During 2011, the federal government spent a total of 1.4 BILLION dollars just on the Obamas.
#32 When you combine all federal government spending, all state government spending and all local government spending, it comes toapproximately 41 percent of U.S. GDP.  But don’t worry, all of our politicians insist that this is not socialism.
#33 As I have written about previously, less than 30 percent of all Americans lived in a home where at least one person received financial assistance from the federal government back in 1983.  Today, that number is sitting at an all-time high of 49 percent.
#34 Back in 1990, the federal government accounted for just 32 percent of all health care spending in America.  This year, it is being projected that the federal government will account for more than 50 percent of all health care spending in the United States.
#35 The number of Americans on Medicaid soared from 34 million in 2000 to 54 million in 2011, and it is being projected that Obamacare will add 16 million more Americans to the Medicaid rolls.
#36 In one of my previous articles, I discussed how it is being projected that the number of Americans on Medicare will grow from 50.7 million in 2012 to 73.2 million in 2025.
#37 If you can believe it, Medicare is facing unfunded liabilities of more than 38 trillion dollars over the next 75 years.  That comes to approximately $328,404 for each and every household in the United States.
#38 In the United States today, more than 61 million Americansreceive some form of Social Security benefits.  By 2035, that number is projected to soar to a whopping 91 million.
#39 Overall, the Social Security system is facing a 134 trillion dollar shortfall over the next 75 years.
#40 When Barack Obama first took office, the U.S. national debt was about 10.6 trillion dollars.  Now it is about 16.7 trillion dollars.  That is an increase of 6.1 trillion dollars in a little more than 4 years.
#41 The federal government has now run a budget deficit of more than a trillion dollars for four years in a row.
#42 If right this moment you went out and started spending one dollar every single second, it would take you more than 31,000 years to spend one trillion dollars.
#43 If you were alive when Jesus Christ was born and you spent one million dollars every single day since that point, you still would not have spent one trillion dollars by now.
#44 Some suggest that “taxing the rich” is the answer.  Well, if Bill Gates gave every single penny of his entire fortune to the U.S. government, it would only cover the U.S. budget deficit for 15 days.
#45 If the federal government used GAAP accounting standards like publicly traded corporations do, the real federal budget deficit for 2011 would have been 5 trillion dollars instead of 1.3 trillion dollars.
#46 The United States already has more government debt per capitathan Greece, Portugal, Italy, Ireland or Spain does.
#47 At this point, the United States government is responsible for more than a third of all the government debt in the entire world.
#48 The amount of U.S. government debt held by foreigners is about 5 times larger than it was just a decade ago.
#49 Between 2007 and 2010, U.S. GDP grew by only 4.26%, but the U.S. national debt soared by 61% during that same time period.
#50 The U.S. national debt is now more than 37 times larger than it was when Richard Nixon took us off the gold standard.
#51 The U.S. national debt is now more than 5000 times larger than it was when the Federal Reserve was first created.
#52 The U.S. national debt jumped more on the very first day of fiscal year 2013 than it did from 1776 to 1941 combined.
#53 Historically, the interest rate on 10 year U.S. Treasuries has averaged 6.68 percent.  If the average interest rate on U.S. government debt rose to that level today, the U.S. government would find itself spending more than a trillion dollars per year just on interest on the national debt.
#54 A recently revised IMF policy paper entitled “An Analysis of U.S. Fiscal and Generational Imbalances: Who Will Pay and How?” projects that U.S. government debt will rise to about 400 percent of GDP by the year 2050.
#55 Boston University economist Laurence Kotlikoff is warning that the U.S. government is facing a gigantic tsunami of unfunded liabilities in the coming years that we are counting on our children and our grandchildren to pay.  Kotlikoff speaks of a “fiscal gap” which he defines as “the present value difference between projected future spending and revenue”.  His calculations have led him to the conclusion that the federal government is facing a fiscal gap of 222 trillion dollars in the years ahead.
Please share this article with as many people as you can.  We are in the process of committing national financial suicide and time is rapidly running out to do anything about it.
Just like Detroit, a day is rapidly approaching when America will not be able to kick the can down the road anymore.
Sadly, our politicians don’t seem inclined to do anything about it and most of the population seems to think that our exploding national debt is not a significant problem.
By the time it becomes clear how wrong they were, it will be far too late to do anything about it.

Fitch says China credit bubble unprecedented in modern world history


Source: UKTelegraph
The agency said the scale of credit was so extreme that the country would find it very hard to grow its way out of the excesses as in past episodes, implying tougher times ahead.
“The credit-driven growth model is clearly falling apart. This could feed into a massive over-capacity problem, and potentially into a Japanese-style deflation,” said Charlene Chu, the agency’s senior director in Beijing.
“There is no transparency in the shadow banking system, and systemic risk is rising. We have no idea who the borrowers are, who the lenders are, and what the quality of assets is, and this undermines signalling,” she told The Daily Telegraph.
While the non-performing loan rate of the banks may look benign at just 1pc, this has become irrelevant as trusts, wealth-management funds, offshore vehicles and other forms of irregular lending make up over half of all new credit. “It means nothing if you can off-load any bad asset you want. A lot of the banking exposure to property is not booked as property,” she said.
Concerns are rising after a string of upsets in Quingdao, Ordos, Jilin and elsewhere, in so-called trust products, a $1.4 trillion (£0.9 trillion) segment of the shadow banking system.
Bank Everbright defaulted on an interbank loan 10 days ago amid wild spikes in short-term “Shibor” borrowing rates, a sign that liquidity has suddenly dried up. “Typically stress starts in the periphery and moves to the core, and that is what we are already seeing with defaults in trust products,” she said.
Fitch warned that wealth products worth $2 trillion of lending are in reality a “hidden second balance sheet” for banks, allowing them to circumvent loan curbs and dodge efforts by regulators to halt the excesses.
This niche is the epicentre of risk. Half the loans must be rolled over every three months, and another 25pc in less than six months. This has echoes of Northern Rock, Lehman Brothers and others that came to grief in the West on short-term liabilities when the wholesale capital markets froze.
Mrs Chu said the banks had been forced to park over $3 trillion in reserves at the central bank, giving them a “massive savings account that can be drawn down” in a crisis, but this may not be enough to avert trouble given the sheer scale of the lending boom.
Overall credit has jumped from $9 trillion to $23 trillion since the Lehman crisis. “They have replicated the entire US commercial banking system in five years,” she said.
The ratio of credit to GDP has jumped by 75 percentage points to 200pc of GDP, compared to roughly 40 points in the US over five years leading up to the subprime bubble, or in Japan before the Nikkei bubble burst in 1990. “This is beyond anything we have ever seen before in a large economy. We don’t know how this will play out. The next six months will be crucial,” she said.
The agency downgraded China’s long-term currency rating to AA- debt in April but still thinks the government can handle any banking crisis, however bad. “The Chinese state has a lot of firepower. It is very able and very willing to support the banking sector. The real question is what this means for growth, and therefore for social and political risk,” said Mrs Chu.
“There is no way they can grow out of their asset problems as they did in the past. We think this will be very different from the banking crisis in the late 1990s. With credit at 200pc of GDP, the numerator is growing twice as fast as the denominator. You can’t grow out of that.”
The authorities have been trying to manage a soft-landing, deploying loan curbs and a high reserve ratio requirement (RRR) for banks to halt property speculation. The home price to income ratio has reached 16 to 18 in many cities, shutting workers out of the market. Shadow banking has plugged the gap for much of the last two years.
However, a new problem has emerged as the economic efficiency of credit collapses. The extra GDP growth generated by each extra yuan of loans has dropped from 0.85 to 0.15 over the last four years, a sign of exhaustion.
Wei Yao from Societe Generale says the debt service ratio of Chinese companies has reached 30pc of GDP – the typical threshold for financial crises — and many will not be able to pay interest or repay principal. She warned that the country could be on the verge of a “Minsky Moment”, when the debt pyramid collapses under its own weight. “The debt snowball is getting bigger and bigger, without contributing to real activity,” she said.
The latest twist is sudden stress in the overnight lending markets. “We believe the series of policy tightening measures in the past three months have reached critical mass, such that deleveraging in the banking sector is happening. Liquidity tightening can be very damaging to a highly leveraged economy,” said Zhiwei Zhang from Nomura.
“There is room to cut interest rates and the reserve ratio in the second half,” wrote a front-page editorial today in China Securities Journal on Friday. The article is the first sign that the authorities are preparing to change tack, shifting to a looser stance after a drizzle of bad data over recent weeks.
The journal said total credit in China’s financial system may be as high as 221pc of GDP, jumping almost eightfold over the last decade, and warned that companies will have to fork out $1 trillion in interest payments alone this year. “Chinese corporate debt burdens are much higher than those of other economies. Much of the liquidity is being used to repay debt and not to finance output,” it said.
It also flagged worries over an exodus of hot money once the US Federal Reserve starts tightening. “China will face large-scale capital outflows if there is an exit from quantitative easing and the dollar strengthens,” it wrote.
The journal said foreign withdrawals from Chinese equity funds were the highest since early 2008 in the week up to June 5, and withdrawals from Hong Kong funds were the most in a decade.

Gold Demand Extraordinary In Vietnam – Paying $217 Premium Over Spot

by GoldCore


Today’s AM fix was USD 1,386.00, EUR 1,038.59 and GBP 881.79 per ounce.
Friday’s AM fix was USD 1,379.75, EUR 1,035.54 and GBP 882.76 per ounce.
Gold climbed to $1391.50/oz on Friday, its first close above $1390/oz in four weeks and silver climbed 1.2 percent to $22.07 an ounce.
Gold is marginally lower today in most currencies after last week’s small gain which was positive from a technical perspective.
Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East looks set to again brandish gold’s safe-haven appeal and will support prices. Gold is higher in yen today as the yen has fallen against all currencies.

Demand in India and across much of Asia has fallen from the record levels seen in April but remains robust nevertheless which will support prices. Extraordinary demand from India and China has received all the attention in recent weeks while equally extraordinary demand in other Asian countries, such as Vietnam, has been completely ignored.

Cross Currency Table – (Bloomberg)

The Vietnamese Central Bank sold another 25,700 taels (37.5 grams, 1.2 troy ounces) at a gold bar auction on Friday in order to try and satiate the massive public demand for gold in Vietnam.
The Central Bank hopes that the sale of gold into the market will reduce the very high premiums paid by gold buyers in Vietnam, the largest buyer of gold in Southeast Asia after Thailand and one of the largest physical buyers of gold per capita in the world.
Vietnamese people hold gold as a store of wealth for protection against war, inflation and currency depreciation. In recent months, the bursting of bubbles in the stock market (see chart) and property market and the continuing devaluation of the dong has led to record demand in Vietnam and a surging premium over the spot price of gold.
Today, the premium was close to 5.5 million dong which is the equivalent of a very high premium of $217 per ounce over spot.

Gold in Vietnamese Dong, 2000 to June 2013 – (Bloomberg)

The premium reached an all-time high of more than $210 per ounce or 6 million dong in April, when gold prices were hammered by what appeared to be manipulative selling on the COMEX futures market.
The Vietnamese Central Bank has held sales since the end of March to help banks return deposits by June 30. So far 709,800 taels, or about 27 tons, have been sold in 28 auctions through June 7, according to the bank.

It is hoped that the gap between domestic and global prices for immediate delivery will probably drop to 4 million dong a tael ($158 an ounce) by the end of July, according to Nguyen Thanh Truc, vice chairman of the Vietnam Gold Traders Association.

Vietnam Stock Index – 2000 to June 2013 – (Bloomberg)

Vietnam’s central bank has, like the Reserve Bank of India,  tightened rules on gold trading. These include making itself the sole importer. This is an attempt to limit gold demand, the impact of gold prices on the exchange rate and in a misguided attempt to prevent a further devaluation of the dong.
As part of the drive, banks must return all gold deposits to investors by June 30, while the State Bank of Vietnam is selling gold to lenders and trading companies to boost domestic supplies.
Vietnam consumed 77 metric tons of gold last year. This compares favourably with massive gold buyers in India and China – 864.2 tons in India, 776.1 tons in China, where the populations are over 1 billion. Vietnam has a population of just 87 million and thus is one of the highest buyers of physical gold per capita in the world.
Purchases of physical gold between 2011-2012 accounted for over 3% of GDP.
Interestingly, property prices are often quoted in taels of gold rather than the local currency due to the Vietnamese experience of monetary inflation and currency debasement.
“The stricter regulatory measures implemented by the State Bank of Vietnam and the fear of a steep decline in gold’s price may affect gold demand temporarily,” Albert Cheng, Far East managing director at the council, said in an e-mail.
“In the long run, for the majority of Vietnamese, particularly those who have lived through the war years and the ensuing economic regression, gold is still considered as the favorite tool for saving and investment.”

Lenders seek court actions against homeowners years after foreclosure


Correction:
An earlier version of this story incorrectly attributed information provided by Evan Goitein, a foreclosure attorney, to Malloy Evans, Fannie Mae's Vice President for default management. Goitein, not Evans, made the point that most deficiency cases he sees involve smaller banks. This version has been corrected.

Lenders seek court actions against homeowners years after foreclosure

Jose Santos Benavides, 42, lives with daughter Gloria, 6, and the rest of his family in a Rockville apartment. The family left a four-bedroom house in Rockville in 2008 when Benavides could no longer afford to make mortgage payments. More than three years later, Benavides was told that he still owed $115,000 on the house he no longer owns. Jose Santos Benavides, 42, lives with daughter Gloria, 6, and the rest of his family in a Rockville apartment. The family left a four-bedroom house in Rockville in 2008 when Benavides could no longer afford to make mortgage payments. More than three years later, Benavides was told that he still owed $115,000 on the house he no longer owns. (Michel du Cille/The Washington Post)
Written by Kimbriell Kelly
For Jose Santos Benavides, the ordeal of losing his home was over.
The Salvadoran immigrant had worked for years as a self-employed landscaper to make a $15,000 down payment on a four-bedroom house in Rockville. He had achieved a portion of the American dream, earning nearly six figures.
Then the economy soured, and lean paychecks turned into late mortgage payments. On Aug. 20, 2008, one year after he bought his dream home for $469,000, the bank’s threat to take his house became real via a letter in the mail. Just four days before the bank seized the property, he moved out, along with his wife and their two young children.
That wasn’t the worst of it.
In November, more than three years after the foreclosure, he was stunned to learn he still owed $115,000 — with the interest alone growing at a rate high enough to lease a luxury car.
“I’m scared, you know,” Benavides said. “I can’t pay.”
The 42-year-old is among the many homeowners being taken to court by their lenders long after their houses were taken in foreclosure. Lenders are filing new motions in old foreclosure lawsuits and hiring debt collectors to pursue leftover debt, plus court fees, attorneys’ fees and tens of thousands in interest that had been accruing for years.
It’s an aftershock of the foreclosure crisis, and most homeowners don’t know it’s coming.
“When people take out a loan, they generally think the home is the security for the loan,” said Alys Cohen, an attorney in the Washington office of the National Consumer Law Center. When they no longer have that home, “people don’t expect that debt to follow them,” she said.
It’s all part of a legal process known as a “deficiency judgment,” which is allowed in the District and 40 of 50 states, including Maryland and Virginia. Since the start of the mortgage meltdown of 2008, at least 400 Maryland homeowners have been pursued in court, according to a Washington Post analysis of state court data. In the first four months of this year, 57 new court actions have been filed against homeowners — on pace to exceed last year’s total of 120.
It works like this: A property with a $500,000 mortgage might be worth only $300,000 following the housing crisis. The $200,000 difference, or what’s commonly referred to as the “underwater amount,” is known to lenders as a deficiency balance.
It’s unclear how many people walk away from homes when they can still afford to pay the mortgage. Likewise, there is little publicly available data on how many people pay off their deficiency judgments. A recent government audit found the recovery rate at one-fifth of 1 percent. But for those hit with the judgments, it can seem like double-dipping on their pain.
“Deficiency judgments are absolutely devastating to the foreclosed home buyer both as a matter of immediate financial impact and income tax consequence,” said John Mixon, a recently retired professor at the University of Houston Law Center who has studied deficiency judgments for the past 30 years.
Among the lenders pursuing the judgments are Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the two quasi-governmental lending agencies that have long strived to open up home ownership to a wider segment of the population. Officials at those agencies said the judgments are necessary to recoup money lost in the crisis.
“Pursuing deficiency judgments has always been a remedy that we have looked at to mitigate our losses prior to the recent housing crash,” said Freddie Mac spokesman Brad German. “It is not a new thing.”
German said Freddie Mac is targeting “strategic defaulters,” which the agency defines as “someone who had the means but chose to go into default, that there were no extenuating circumstances that affected their ability to pay. If you’re choosing not to pay off your mortgage, but you’re paying other bills, we would consider that strategic default.”
In 2011, Fannie and Freddie flagged 12 percent of 298,327 properties they had foreclosed on — more than 35,000 — for deficiency judgments in an attempt to collect $2.1 billion in unpaid mortgage debt, according to an inspector general’s report released in October from the Federal Housing Finance Agency.
“Pursuing these collections against borrowers we believe have the ability to pay but who have decided not to helps us minimize our losses, which in turn helps minimize taxpayer losses,” said Malloy Evans, an attorney and Fannie Mae’s vice president for default management. “And we think it’s our responsibility to try to minimize those taxpayers’ losses as much as we can.”
Robert Van Order, who was a chief economist for Freddie Mac from 1987 to 2002, said he did not believe that targeting deficiencies would produce much revenue.
“That may be a good business decision, but I don’t think that’s a huge part of the market,” Van Order said. “Is it worthwhile to hire some lawyers and some people to try to do it? It might be, but it’s not going to make or break the companies.”
“Deficiencies are less lucrative than some other types of debt recovery work. They tend to be larger and more complicated and more paperwork-intensive than, say, a medical or credit card bill,” said Michael J. Cramer, president of Dyck-O’Neal, a Texas-based firm that has been collecting deficiencies for 25 years. “However, deficiency recovery represents an important facet of the debt recovery industry.”
Fannie is also pursuing defaulting homeowners as a “deterrent” for people who might be thinking about defaulting in the future, Van Order said. Fannie Mae has hired debt collectors to pursue people in 38 states and the District, while Freddie Mac has taken homeowners to court in 17 states and the District.
Banks and lenders have rarely resorted to pursuing people for remaining debt once the home was taken. Before 2008, since property values were consistently increasing, the value of the home usually covered the mortgage amount, and lenders could make their money back by reselling the properties.
Van Order said the agency did not pursue homeowners very often for deficiencies during his tenure.
But the mortgage meltdown changed the equation.
Suing people immediately after foreclosure was problematic. For one thing, lenders usually could not get more money out of already broke homeowners. But, if lenders waited a few years, some forecast that people would have money again once the economy recovered.
The irony is not lost on Evan Goitein, a Bethesda-based foreclosure attorney.
“There is very little to be gained from the bank’s perspective to be suing people for the money at this point,” Goitein said. “While deficiency judgments are not really a problem right now, I can see it being a big problem in the future. So seven years from now when my client has recovered from his foreclosure, he’s got a job again, he’s saved up enough money . . . [from the bank’s perspective], that would be a great time for the bank to try to sue them.”
People are usually shocked when that happens, even though mortgage documents state that lenders are entitled to immediately recover the full loan amount upon default. Mixon said ordinary people often do not realize what is contained in the arcane legal language. “The thing that looks like it’s protecting them is biting them,” he said.
Jose Santos Benavides learned in November — more than three years after the bank foreclosed on his Rockville home — that he still owed $95,500 from the mortgage and at least $21,000 in unpaid interest. “I’m scared, you know,” Benavides said. “I can’t pay.” Jose Santos Benavides learned in November — more than three years after the bank foreclosed on his Rockville home — that he still owed $95,500 from the mortgage and at least $21,000 in unpaid interest. “I’m scared, you know,” Benavides said. “I can’t pay.” (Michel du Cille/The Washington Post)
Benavides and his family had been living in a cramped, two-bedroom Besley Court apartment for four years when the process server handed him a document stating that collectors were coming after him over the debt on his old house. He had 30 days to respond.
“He tells me, ‘You have to go to court,’ ” Benavides said. “I was just scared.”
The notice spelled out that he owed $95,500 from the $375,200 mortgage, plus at least $21,000 in unpaid interest. The letter said the interest on the debt was $19 a day, roughly $577 a month. And the clock had been running for more than three years.
Benavides tried to call his original lender, Lehman Brothers, but it had filed for bankruptcy before being acquired by Barclays. He called one of the attorneys in the suit. He called the process server listed on the summons. Finally, he called a bank, and it said there was nothing that could be done, he said. Freddie Mac, which declined to comment on his case, had backed Benavides’s loan, but for $1 assigned the note to Dyck-O’Neal.
Five days before Christmas, he filed for bankruptcy.
A long window for lenders
Lenders have an opportunity to forgive the deficiency. Most do so, either through a short sale before foreclosure, in which the lenders agree to accept an amount of money from a home sale that falls short of the mortgage, or through a “deed in lieu,” in which the homeowner merely gives up the deed to the house in order to get out quickly.
But even then, homeowners can be stuck with paying state and federal tax on what the bank has forgiven. The Mortgage Forgiveness Debt Relief Act waived taxes on that debt until 2012. That relief was extended until December, but the act doesn’t exempt homeowners from state tax, and it’s uncertain whether the federal relief will be extended again. Most states forgive the taxes, said Annapolis bankruptcy lawyer Tate Russack.
States have different statutes of limitation on how long they allow lenders to pursue deficiency judgments, ranging from 30 days to 20 years. In Kansas, a deficiency judgment must be sought at the time of foreclosure. If a judge feels the bid at foreclosure sale isn’t “fair value,” the judge can deny or reduce the judgment.
In Maryland, it’s three years. However, there’s a little-known exemption for most mortgage documents that gives debt collectors 12 years to sue homeowners, plus another 12 years to collect the debt and on top of that a one-time renewal of 12 years for a total of 36 years.
“That’s 36 years that lenders have to go after people,” said Russack, whose firm has taken on 80 bankruptcy cases in the past four months, all of which involve deficiency judgments.
The rate of deficiency judgments has increased sharply in Maryland in recent years, The Post’s analysis shows.
In 2006, the owners of 19 properties in Maryland were ordered to pay their deficiencies totaling at least $432,115. Six years later, the owners of 120 properties were pursued for $13.6 million.
Since 2008, a majority of the cases pursued were in Prince George’s County, with Baltimore City and Montgomery County coming in at a close second and third. Those three jurisdictions had more homeowners taken to court than the state’s other 21 counties combined. Those three jurisdictions also represented nearly $3 of every $4 sought by lenders and debt collectors, which totaled $45 million among all counties.
In Prince George’s, one homeowner was hit with a judgment of $577,000, another with $563,000. All told, the median judgment for Prince George’s homeowners was $98,000 — $10,000 more than the statewide median of $88,000.
“It is a problem of monumental proportions,” Russack said.
Rep. Elijah E. Cummings (D-Md.) says he supports reform of deficiency judgments. Rep. Elijah E. Cummings (D-Md.) says he supports reform of deficiency judgments.
Rep. Elijah E. Cummings (D-Md.), who in the past has been a defendant in foreclosure filings on his personal home, said he supports deficiency judgment reform.
“I strongly support policies and aid initiatives that will minimize or even waive deficiency judgments against borrowers to help ensure that such judgments do not compound the harms borrowers have already suffered,” he said.
Already-foreclosed homeowners won’t know that they’re being targeted until they receive the court notice. In many cases, it is hard to even know who owns the debt until the notice arrives. Often times, the entity pursuing the debt is not the original lender, because that debt can be sold by the homeowner’s lender to someone on the secondary debt market for pennies on the dollar. Most of the deficiency cases that Goitein said he sees involve smaller banks.
Because the debt is old, accruing interest becomes a major cost to homeowners.
According to The Post’s analysis, the median interest rate in Maryland was $10 a day, $310 a month. One Germantown woman was charged $40 a day, or $46,000 in total, for what was originally a $136,000 deficiency on a four-year-old foreclosure case.
A Montgomery County Circuit Court spokeswoman said courts do not decide the amount of interest to be charged. The post-judgment interest is governed by state statute, she said, which mandates a minimum of 10 percent interest per year, according to the statute.
Once a judgment is entered, it sticks with the homeowner until it is paid off. In Maryland, it is filed with the land record in the county where the homeowner lives and follows him each time he moves. A lien is then attached to whatever future real estate the homeowner purchases and prevents the homeowner from selling that new property until the deficiency is paid off, Russack said.
In most cases, the only way out of a deficiency judgment is by filing for Chapter 7 bankruptcy. But because of the Bankruptcy Reform Act of 2005, that’s only available to people earning no more than the state’s median family income by family size, which is $108,915 for a family of four in Maryland. All others must file under chapters 11 and 13, where the debt is restructured, not eliminated.
The Post found 144 cases of bankruptcy filed after homeowners received a court order for deficiency — nearly 20 percent of all cases. Among them, 38 — more than a quarter — had some sort of garnishment of wages or other assets. Another 113 cases also involved garnishment, but there had not yet been a filing of bankruptcy.
‘Foreclosure fatigue’
In 2011, an attempt was made to pass a one-year nationwide cap on deficiency judgments, but it died in a House committee.
Last year, the Maryland Consumer Rights Coalition was asked to make legislative recommendations to help ease the state’s foreclosure crisis. Among other things, the commission recommended ending deficiency judgments and mandating a statewide forgiveness of the debt. But that recommendation was ignored, according to Marceline White, the commission’s executive director.
The coalition considered making a renewed push for the recommendation during the spring session, which ended April 8, but ultimately held off.
“Frankly, I think there’s a little bit of foreclosure fatigue among lawmakers,” White said.
White said Bank of America recently announced it would forgive deficiencies in exchange for credit as part of a federal and state settlement of a $25 billion national mortgage lawsuit. The settlement requires the nation’s top five lenders to help people who are having difficulty paying their mortgage.
As of March 31, Bank of America provided 599 deficiency waivers in Maryland totaling $40 million, an average of $67,235 per deficiency. The settlement terms end in 2014, and the bank says it will continue to forgive the debts.
“I can confirm that we will continue to waive deficiencies even after the monitor certifies us as having met our obligations under the settlement,” said Bank of America spokeswoman Jumana Bauwens.
The wave of deficiency judgments had a prologue in Texas.
During the 1980s in Houston, the bottom went out of the oil market, with the price dropping to about $15 a barrel. Homes that had been assessed at $200,000 couldn’t be sold for $100,000. More than 200,000 people lost their jobs and could not pay their mortgages.
The lenders foreclosed on the homes and then pursued the homeowners for the outstanding balance.
Once a judgment was granted, debt collectors had 10 years to collect, according to the Texas statute at the time, and another 10 years if the debt collector petitioned the court to renew the judgment.
“It was an absolute disaster,” Mixon said.
In response to the situation, the state passed laws increasing consumer protections in deficiency cases.
“It’s less an event in Texas today than it was back then,” Mixon said. “But Texas still provides the object lesson of what could happen.”
But for the moment, efforts to pursue deficiency judgments are ramping up rather than winding down.
Following the mortgage crisis in 2008, the Federal Housing Finance Agency took over management of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. The FHFA is now in private talks with the quasi-private lending giants to ramp up their efforts to go after even more homeowners for their deficiencies starting this September, according to the inspector general’s report.
The FHFA inspector general’s report showed that the return on the 35,000 deficiency judgments pursued in 2011 was less than 1 percent, or $4.7 million.
“Given a recovery rate of .22 percent, the Enterprises appear to have room for improvement,” according to the audit. “Further, with 1.1 million seriously delinquent mortgages looming on the foreclosure horizon — triple the Enterprises’ foreclosures in 2011 — FHFA’s timely guidance on deficiency management processes may help the Enterprises recoup future losses and protect taxpayers’ investment in their financial health.”
By Sept. 20, the FHFA is expected to have drafted new guidelines for making the process more effective.
“Through our supervisory process, FHFA is working to implement the Inspector General’s recommendations,” said Jon Greenlee, the FHFA’s deputy director of the division of enterprise regulation.
Evans said Fannie Mae applies a specific methodology to determine whom it will pursue, though he declined to elaborate, saying people could use such information to thwart the process. He did say that Fannie Mae does not pursue homeowners who have experienced certain financial hardships, such as a job loss, medical issue, death of a spouse or divorce.
But they do target people based on credit history and the characteristics of their loans and properties. For example, a person who pays their other bills but not their mortgage could be considered a strategic defaulter, he said.
“We do the analysis first to really focus on the population that we think has the ability to pay but hasn’t chosen to do so,” Evans said.
Arturo Ventura, 45, picks up his son, Manuel, 8, on March 15 in Washington, where they live with Ventura’s brother after losing their condo in Silver Spring.
Arturo Ventura, 45, picks up his son, Manuel, 8, on March 15 in Washington, where they live with Ventura’s brother after losing their condo in Silver Spring. (Michel du Cille/The Washington Post)
In 2012, Ventura was told that he owed nearly $100,000 on the money he borrowed on Aug. 15, 2006, with interest growing at $16.21 a day since Sept. 14, 2009.
In 2012, Ventura was told that he owed nearly $100,000 on the money he borrowed on Aug. 15, 2006, with interest growing at $16.21 a day since Sept. 14, 2009. (Michel du Cille/The Washington Post)
Coming to collect
Arturo Ventura, a 45-year-old food server at a restaurant in Northwest Washington, had struggled long and hard to find his place in America. The native of El Salvador had fled his homeland in 1983 during the civil war there. He went to school to find out that his favorite teacher had been slain. “They were killing all of the teachers at that time,” he said.
After coming north, he moved in with his brother and started to work delivering newspapers from Connecticut Avenue to 34th Street in Cleveland Park, earning $150 each month.
Ventura eventually wanted to move into his own place, one preferably in a school district that could cater to the special needs of his 8-year-old son, who has Down syndrome. He began looking in Silver Spring and was surprised when real-estate agents showed him properties that he thought he could not afford.
But he learned from the agents that he was not required to provide a down payment.
In 2006, he found a three-bedroom condo and qualified for the $215,920 mortgage. It would be roughly $2,000 each month plus $260 for monthly condo association fees. He could pay for it, he said, by combining the $2,000 a month he earned as a food runner for local restaurants with the Supplemental Security Income payments for his son and money from his longtime girlfriend’s part-time job.
Then the couple separated, and he could no longer make the payments.
He moved back in with his brother, let the condo lapse into foreclosure and eventually filed for bankruptcy.
Last year, on Sept. 13, a copy of a court action against Ventura was mailed to his D.C. apartment explaining that he still owed nearly $100,000 on the money he had borrowed on Aug. 15, 2006, with interest growing at $16.21 a day since Sept. 14, 2009.
He cannot understand why they want him to pay for a house that someone else lives in.
“They still want me to buy the house they already sell?” Ventura said.
In 2006, Arturo Ventura found a three-bedroom condo on Normandy Square Court in Silver Spring. Ventura said he was looking to live in a school district that could cater to the needs of his son, who has Down syndrome. After Ventura and his girlfriend, who helped cover the mortgage, had separated, Ventura could no longer afford the payments. In 2006, Arturo Ventura found a three-bedroom condo on Normandy Square Court in Silver Spring. Ventura said he was looking to live in a school district that could cater to the needs of his son, who has Down syndrome. After Ventura and his girlfriend, who helped cover the mortgage, had separated, Ventura could no longer afford the payments. (Michel du Cille/The Washington Post)

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